Julianna Margulies won her first Emmy on her first nomination back in 1995 for “E.R.” Since then, she has lost all six of her Emmy bids. However, this year “The Good Wife” star is predicted to finally get that matching bookend as she is the frontrunner for Best Drama Actress . Our exclusive Gold Derby statistics have her as the 2/5 favorite with the support of nine of 10 experts, eight of 12 editors, and 58% of our users (372 votes).
Margulies was expected to win last year based on the buzz for her show but her episode submission, “Threesome,” was not as good as the one entered by eventual winner Kyra Sedgwick (“The Closer”). Sedgwick was snubbed this year. And Margulies has submitted a much more emotional entry (“In Sickness”) in which she finally leaves her husband (Chris Noth), giving her a great shot to prevail.
Look out, however, for Elisabeth Moss who has a powerful episode (“The Suitcase”) herself for “Mad Men.” In it, her character Peggy Olson spends all night of her birthday working with her boss Don Draper (Jon Hamm) on an advertising campaign, getting drunk, and even crying over her failed relationships. Moss has odds of 9/2 and is the choice of expert Ken Tucker (Entertainment Weekly), editors Daniel Montgomery and Andrew Pickett, and 27% of our users (175 votes).
Kathy Bates is a first-time nominee for “Harry’s Law” and has now earned her ninth overall Emmy bid with no wins yet. While her producer David E. Kelley has written scripts for 35 previous Emmy acting winners (including Bates’ co-star Paul McCrane last weekend), the episode “An Innocent Man” for Bates doesn’t offer the grandstanding courtroom scenes in his typical winning entries. She only has 20/1 odds, but does have the support of our editor Darrin Dortch.
Newcomer Mireille Enos (“The Killing“) has a sizzling submission, “Missing,” from late in the season. Her character Det. Sarah Linden puts aside a murder investigation to focus on finding her teenage son. Even with the emotional pull from her selection, Enos is the choice only of editor Matt Noble and has lowly 33/1 odds to win.
MAKE YOUR EMMY PREDICTIONS: Who will win Best Drama Actress?
Log your predictions in all top Emmy races. Compete against experts!
Pulling up the rear in this battle with 100/1 odds are returning nominee Connie Britton, who submitted the series finale of “Friday Night Lights“, and 2006 Emmy champ Mariska Hargitay, who entered a solid “Law and Order: Special Victims Unit” episode called “Rescue.”
Stay on top of the Emmy races all year long – Get free Gold Derby News Updates
Sorry, Emmy nominees: You’re doomed to lose
Handicapping all of the top Emmy races
Emmy cheat sheet: Who will win every category
Emmys: Order of category presentations revealed
Videos: Gold Derby editors debate races
Videos: Exclusive interviews with nominees
Prediction charts: Experts, Gold Derby Editors and Site Users