‘Modern Family’ has 1/10 odds to repeat as Best Comedy Series

Modern Family” is so far out in front in the Best Comedy Series race that its odds of winning are 1/10 (i.e., betting 10 points on this outcome would return you just one additional point if the show prevails). Our exclusive Gold Derby statistics reveal unanimous support from our editors, as well as from nine of our 10 experts and 78% of our users. 


For its sophomore season, the laffer increased its total Emmy nods to 17 from 14. Every adult cast member (Julie Bowen, Ty Burrell, Jesse Tyler FergusonEd ONeill, Eric Stonestreet, and Sofia Vergara) is nominated, plus the show received three directing bids and one for writing. Those factors plus six very funny episode submissions combine to create such a romp of victory for this show. If this happens, it would be only the second ABC comedy series to win more than once after “Taxi” (1979-1981).

One of our experts, Frazier Moore (Associated Press), goes out on a limb to predict “Parks and Recreation” as the winner. The third-year NBC show has its first nod for the top prize but is a 20/1 underdog and only has the support of just 6% of our users. Without a directing or writing nomination, though, it is virtually impossible to win as Best Comedy Series. The only show to ever do that was “Friends” in 2002.

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Even further longshots with 50/1 odds are fourth-year CBS laffer “The Big Bang Theory” with its first series bid and the Fox musical comedy “Glee,” which earned a second consecutive nod. Surprisingly, three-time victor “30 Rock” (2007-2009) is listed with 100/1 odds, as is “The Office” which won in 2006 and is contending for Steve Carell‘s final season.

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