SAG Awards previewed Oscar nominees

Of this year’s 20 Screen Actor Guild nominees, 17 are now Oscar contenders. The only ones to miss out were SAG Actor nominee Robert Duvall (“Get Low”), SAG Female Actor nominee Hilary Swank (“Conviction”) and SAG Female Supporting Actor nominee Mila Kunis (“Black Swan”).

Last year, 19 of the 20 SAG acting nominees contended at the Academy Awards. SAG supporting actress contender Diane Kruger (“Inglourious Basterds”) was replaced on the Oscars ballot by Maggie Gyllenhaal (“Crazy Heart”).

In 2008, 18 of the 19 SAG acting nominees repeated at the Academy Awards. As double SAG nominee Kate Winslet was bumped up by the Oscars from supporting to lead for “The Reader,” she was denied a lead nod for “Revolutionary Road.” However, that film’s Michael Shannon managed to knock SAG nominee Dev Patel of “Slumdog Millionaire” out of the supporting race.

In 2007, 15 of the 20 SAG nominees went on to compete at the Oscars while in 2006 it was also 19 of the 20 with the one variation coming from the same film — “The Departed” — as SAG nominee Leonardo DiCaprio was replaced at Oscar time by Mark Wahlberg.

All five of this year’s SAG nominees for Best Ensemble number among the Best Picture lineup at the Oscars. Last year, four of the five SAG-nominated ensembles appear in Oscar-nominees with only “Nine” not making it into the academy’s top 10. In 2008, four of the five SAG-nominated ensembles also did so, with SAG contender “Doubt” replaced by “The Reader.” “Slumdog Millionaire” won both awards. In 2007, only one SAG ensemble nominee — “No Country for Old Men” — made it into the Best Picture race, although that film won both prizes as well. Back in 2006, it was three of five, with “Little Miss Sunshine” taking the SAG prize but losing the top Oscar to “The Departed.”

In 2009, all five of the lead actress nominees competed for both awards with Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side”) winning both. In 2008, as with this year, it was four of five as the only SAG nominee not needing a babysitter come Oscar night was Angelina Jolie (“A Mighty Heart”), whose spot went to “The Savages” star Laura Linney.

The 2009, 2008 and 2007 supporting actress races also only matched up only four to five: the promotion of Winslet for “The Reader” left room at the Oscars for the addition of Marisa Tomei (“The Wrestler”) while SAG nominee Catherine Keener (“Into the Wild”) was replaced by Saoirse Ronan (“Atonement”).

Unlike this year, in both 2009 and 2008, the lead actor matched up perfectly. In 2007, it went three for five with the SAG nominees as relative newcomers Emile Hirsch (“Into the Wild”) and Ryan Gosling (“Lars and the Real Girl”) were replaced at the Oscars by Hollywood vets Johnny Depp (“Sweeney Todd”) and Tommy Lee Jones (“In the Valley of Elah”).

While this year and last the supporting actor race aligned, in 2008 it was four for five with Shannon replacing Patel at the Oscars. In 2007, SAG nominee Tommy Lee Jones (“No Country for Old Men”) was replaced by Philip Seymour Hoffman (“Charlie Wilson’s War”).


New Oscar predictions from leading experts

It’s Oscar War! ‘King’s Speech’ vs. ‘Social Network’

Can ‘True Grit’ win without an editing nomination?

10 Best Picture contenders rack up 69 Oscar nominations

Complete list of Oscar nominations

More News from GoldDerby