CMA Awards predictions: Taylor Swift, Carrie Underwood, Blake Shelton

Gold Derby surveyed our Editors and hundreds of Users to predict Thursday’s CMA Awards. We generated racetrack odds from these predictions and detail the likely winners and potential spoilers below. 

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Jason Aldean
Kenny Chesney
Brad Paisley
Blake Shelton
Taylor Swift

Will Win: Taylor Swift has odds of 8 to 11 to claim this top prize for the third time in four years. She won this award in 2009 and then was snubbed the following year, not even reaping a nomination.  However, she came back to take the category again in 2011.

Spoiler: Blake Shelton has odds of 13 to 8 to win this award on his second consecutive bid. His profile has been raised by his appearances on the NBC singing show “The Voice” and his marriage to country songbird Miranda Lambert.

Luke Bryan, “Tailgates and Tanlines”
Eric Church, “Chief”
Miranda Lambert, “Four the Record”
Dierks Bentley, “Home”
Lady Antebellum, “Own the Night”

Will Win: Lady Antebellum’s “Own the Night” was released in September 2011 and has been certified platinum by the RIAA. It won Best Country Album at the Grammy Awards and has even odds to win here too.

Spoiler: “Four the Record” debuted in November 2011 and has been certified gold by the RIAA. Miranda Lambert previously won this category in 2010 for “Revolution” and has odds of 11 to 8 to pick up a bookend. 

SINGLE OF THE YEAR (Award goes to artist and producer)
Jason Aldean, “Dirt Road Anthem”
Blake Shelton, “God Gave Me You”
Dierks Bentley, “Home”
Little Big Town, “Pontoon”
Eric Church, “Springsteen”

Will Win: Blake Shelton’s platinum single “God Gave Me You” was released in July 2011 and was also nominated for a Grammy for Best Country Song. It has even odds to win. 

Spoiler: Jason Aldean’s “Dirt Road Anthem” is a triple-platinum single released in April 2011. It was also nominated for a Grammy for Country Solo Performance. It has odds of 13 to 8 to win. 

Kelly Clarkson
Miranda Lambert
Martina McBride
Taylor Swift
Carrie Underwood

Will Win: Carrie Underwood claimed this award for three years running beginning in 2006. However, in the last three years she has been bested by Taylor Swift (2009) and then Miranda Lambert (2010-2011). She has odds of 10 to 9 to win a record-tying fourth prize. 

Spoiler: Miranda Lambert has odds of 8 to 5 for a three-peat. 

Jason Aldean
Luke Bryan
Eric Church
Blake Shelton
Keith Urban

Will Win: Blake Shelton is the two-time defending champion in this category and has odds of 5 to 6 to make it a three-peat.

Spoiler: Jason Aldean’s album “My Kinda Party” won Album of the Year last year. Aldean was also nominated in this category, but lost to Shelton. He has odds of 13 to 8 to win this time around. 

The Band Perry
Eli Young Band
Lady Antebellum
Little Big Town
Zac Brown Band

Will Win: Lady Antebellum has won this award for the last three years and the top-selling trio has odds of 2 to 3 to make it four in a row. 

Spoiler: This is the third nomination in this category for the Band Perry who have yet to win. Last year they took home three prizes — New Artist, Single, and Song of the Year — and have odds of 9 to 4 to finally win this award. 

Big & Rich
Love and Theft
The Civil Wars
Thompson Square

Will Win:  Sugarland has owned this race for the past five years and has odds of 10 to 9 to make it an even half dozen.

Spoiler: The Civil Wars has odds of 6 to 5 to win on their second consecutive bid.

Lee Brice
Brantley Gilbert
Hunter Hayes
Love and Theft
Thompson Square

Will Win: Love and Theft, who are also nominated for Vocal Duo, have odds of 5 to 4 to win. 

Spoiler: Duo Thompson Square, who lost their bid in this race last year to the Band Perry, have odds of 7 to 5 to win this year. 

“Dixie Highway,” Alan Jackson featuring Zac Brown Band
“Feel Like a Rock Star,” Kenny Chesney (duet with Tim McGraw)
“Roll Me Up and Smoke Me When I Die,” Willie Nelson with Snoop Dogg, Kris Kristofferson & Jamey Johnson
“Safe & Sound,” Taylor Swift featuring the Civil Wars
“Stuck on You,” Lionel Richie (with Darius Rucker)

Will Win: Taylor Swift and the Civil Wars wrote “Safe and Sound” with T-Bone Burnett and recorded it for the soundtrack for “The Hunger Games.” They have odds of 21 to 20 to win.

Spoiler: “Roll Me Up and Smoke Me When I Die” is a track from Willie Nelson’s 2012 album “Heroes.” Performed with Snoop Dogg, Kris Kristofferson, and Jamey Johnson. The quartet has odds of 17 to 10 to win. 

“Come Over,” Kenny Chesney
“Over You,” Miranda Lambert
“Pontoon,” Little Big Town
“Red Solo Cup,” Toby Keith
“Springsteen,” Eric Church

Will Win: Miranda Lambert’s “Over You” was directed by Trey Fanjoy. It has more than five million views on YouTube and has even odds to win.

Spoiler: Toby Keith’s “Red Solo Cup” features numerous celebrity cameos and has been viewed more than 17 million times on YouTube. It has odds of 8 to 5 to win.

SONG OF THE YEAR (Award goes to songwriters)
“Even if It Breaks Your Heart,” Eli Young Band – written by Will Hoge and Eric Paslay
“God Gave Me You,” Blake Shelton – written by Dave Barnes
“Home,” Dierks Bentley – written by Dierks Bentley, Dan Wilson and Brett Beavers
“Over You,” Miranda Lambert – written by Miranda Lambert and Blake Shelton
 “Springsteen,” Eric Church – written by Eric Church, Jeff Hyde and Ryan Tyndell

Will Win: Miranda Lambert wrote “Over You” with her husband Blake Shelton about the death of his brother when Shelton was a teenager. The song went to number-one on Billboard’s Country chart and has odds of 10 to 11 to win. 

Spoiler: Sung by Blake Shelton, “God Gave Me You” was written by contemporary Christian singer Dave Barnes, who originally recorded it in 2010. It has odds of 13 to 8 to win. 

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