How will ‘Downton Abbey’ do in drama races at Golden Globes and SAG Awards?

Just as it did at the most recent Emmys, “Downton Abbey” will be submitted as a drama series at both the Golden Globes and SAG Awards. That marks a shift from the movie/miniseries genre where it contended last year. 

As a miniseries, the first season of “Downton Abbey” won the top program prize at both the 2011 Emmys and Golden Globes. The SAG Awards do not include an ensemble prize for TV movies and miniseries.  

Rather than try and pitch the second season as a sequel to the original miniseries, producers acknowledged it is now a full-fledged drama series. As such, it reaped 16 Emmy nominations,  including Best Drama Series, but won just two awards — Drama Supporting Actress (Maggie Smithand Hairstyling). 

Compare that to its success in the TV movie/miniseries genre at the 2011 Emmys where, in addition to taking Best TV Movie/Miniseries, it also won for directing, writing and for the supporting performance of Smith who was the lone acting nominee. 

At the 2011 Golden Globes, Hugh Bonneville and Elizabeth McGovern contended in the lead TV movie/miniseries acting races while Smith was a supporting nominee; all three lost. 

At this year’s Globes, Bonneville and McGovern will face off against the younger generation with Dan Stevens and Michelle Dockery also being entered in the competitive lead drama acting races. Of this quartet, our odds only favor a nomination for Dockery. 

However, Smith is favored to win the catch-all supporting actress category. Her recent Emmy rival Joanne Froggatt is also being entered in this race, but is not expected to even reap a bid. Neither are the two suprise Emmy nominees for supporting drama actor Jim Carter and Brendan Coyle

And the show is in second place for Best Drama Series, behind reigning Globe and Emmy champ “Homeland.” 

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At the 2011 SAG Awards, Smith was the only member of the cast who reaped a bid. These kudos do not differentiate between lead and featured performances on television (although they do for film work). 

This year, she is being entered again in the combined drama actress race as is Dockery, but not McGovern nor Froggatt. Our odds place Smith in third position behind reigning Emmy champ Claire Danes (“Homeland”) and queen of the SAG Awards Julianna Margulies (“The Good Wife”). Dockery is down in the 10th spot. 

And while Bonneville and Stevens, who play the lords of the manor, are being submitted in the combined drama actor category, Carter and Coyle, who reign below stairs, won’t be. However, neither of them is expected to even be nominated, with Bonneville ranked 14th and Stevens 25th in our standings. 

All of these performers, and many more, would share in the ensemble award. Currently, “Downton Abbey” is in third place behind the casts of “Homeland” and “Mad Men.” Reigning two-time champ “Boardwalk Empire” is in the fifth slot, behind “Breaking Bad.” 

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