Best Performance by an Emmy Expert: Michael Schneider kicks pundit butt with 76%

TV Guide guru Michael Schneider played our Emmy pundit derby like a classic dark horse. He didn’t enter our competition until the home stretch – giving us his predictions only 40 hours before nominations were unveiled – then he zoomed ahead of 16 experts with lightning speed, reaping the highest percentage of correct forecasts (76%).

Schneider’s TV Guide colleague, editor-in-chief Debra Birnbaum, came in second place with 72%, tying with Lynn Elber (Associated Press). All three gurus predicted 18 categories. Three experts forecasted more – that is, 22 races, with Elena Howe (L.A. Times) leading the pack with 69%.

Click here to see all pundits’ rankings. Click on the links on the top of that page to see more categories and click on each expert’s name to see a breakdown of their predix on one page.

Rick Porter (Zap2It) was the only expert polled by Gold Derby who correctly foresaw Hugh Bonneville (“Downton Abbey”) nabbing a bid for Best Drama Actor. Porter, Ken Tucker (Entertainment Weekly) and Jill Serjeant (Reuters) were the only gurus who picked Kathy Bates (“Harry’s Law”) to be nommed for Best Drama Actress.


Out of our 17 pundits, only five picked “Girls” to be nominated for Best Comedy Series: Robert Bianco (USA Today), Maria Elena Fernandez (Newsweek Daily Beast), Elber and Maggie Furlong and Mo Ryan (HuffPo TV).

Four seers knew that “Parks and Recreation” would be snubbed in that race: Bianco, Furlong, Howe and Serjeant. Three gurus correctly predicted all six entries for Best Drama Series: Howe, Fernandez and Kristin Dos Santos (E! Online).

Compare the predix scores of these Experts to those of Gold Derby’s Editors and Users – READ MORE.


Elena Howe, L.A. Times – 69%
Matt Roush, TV Guide – 68%
Paul Sheehan, Gold Derby – 68%

Michael Schneider, TV Guide – 76%
Lynn Elber, AP – 72%
Debra Birnbaum, TV Guide – 72%
Ken Tucker, EW – 71%
Tom O’Neil, Gold Derby – 71%
John Kubicek, Buddy TV – 71%
Maria Elena Fernandez, Newsweek Daily Beast – 70%
Daniel Manu, TV Without Pity – 68%
Robert Bianco, USA Today – 68%
Kristin Dos Santos, E! Online – 66%
Maggie Furlong, HuffPoTV – 65%
Mo Ryan, HuffPoTV – 40%

Rick Porter, Zap2It – 67%

Jill Serjeant, Reuters – 67%


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