‘Argo’ far in front for Best Picture at BAFTAs as well as Oscars

Just as our odds forecast a Best Picture win for “Argo” at the Oscars, so too do they back its bid at the BAFTAs. 

While “Lincoln” leads with 10 BAFTA nominations, “Argo,” which has seven BAFTA bids, is the pick for Best Pic by all our Experts as well as all but one of our seven Editors and three-quarters of our Users. That support translates into leading odds of 6/5. In second place is the screen adaptation of the British musical “Les Miserables” with odds of 9/2. “Lincoln” is in third with odds of only 11/2. 

Such was the love of the Brits for Ben Affleck that they cited him for both his directing of and acting in “Argo.” While he is all but certain to lose Best Actor to Daniel Day-Lewis (“Lincoln”), he is far ahead for Best Director

In one of those awards oddities, Steven Spielberg was snubbed for helming “Lincoln.” He and Affleck are locked in a fierce duel for the DGA prize this Saturday but only Spielberg contends at the Oscars. 

The BAFTAs shifted their schedule in 2000 to take place while academy members are still voting for the Oscars. The BAFTAs have foreseen six of the dozen Best Picture Oscar winners since then: “Gladiator” (2000), “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” (2003), “Slumdog Millionaire” (2008), “The Hurt Locker” (2009) “The King’s Speech” (2010) and “The Artist” (2011).

-ADDPREDICTION:86:529:Click to predict BAFTA Best Picture:ADDPREDICTION-

The Artist” won seven of its leading 12 BAFTA bids — Best Picture, Director & Original Screenplay (Michel Hazanavicius), Actor (Jean Dujardin), Cinematography, Costume Design and Score. It repeated in all these races but screenplay and cinematography at the Oscars. 

In 2010, “The King’s Speech” won seven of its 14 BAFTA bids — Picture, Actor (Colin Firth), Supporting Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Supporting Actress (Helena Bonham Carter), Original Screenplay, Score and Best British Film. At the Oscars, it only repeated for Best Picture, Actor and Original Screenplay. While helmer Tom Hooper had been bested at BAFTA by David Fincher (“The Social Network”), he won the Academy Award. 

In 2009, “The Hurt Locker” won six of its eight BAFTA bids and repeated at the Oscars for Best Picture, Director (Kathryn Bigelow), Original Screenplay, Editing and Sound. “Avatar” prevailed in just two of its eight BAFTA categories — Production Design and Visual Effects — and also won those at the Oscars as well as Cinematography over BAFTA champ “Hurt Locker.”

In 2008, “Slumdog Millionaire” won with BAFTA first as did three of the four Oscar acting champs — Kate Winslet (“The Reader”), Heath Ledger (“The Dark Knight”) and Penelope Cruz (“Vicky Christina Barcelona”). BAFTA Best Actor champ Mickey Rourke (“The Wrestler”) lost the Oscar to Sean Penn (“Milk”).

While home-grown “Atonement” took the 2007 BAFTA Best Picture prize over eventual Oscar winner “No Country for Old Men,” all four BAFTA acting winners — Daniel Day-Lewis (“There Will Be Blood”), Marion Cotillard (“La Vie en Rose”), Javier Bardem (“No Country for Old Men”) and Tilda Swinton (“Michael Clayton”) — went on to repeat at the Oscars.

In 2006, “The Queen” won over the Brits for Best Picture edging out eventual Oscar champ “The Departed.” Again, all four of the acting champs — Forrest Whitaker (“The Last King of Scotland”), Helen Mirren (“The Queen”), Alan Arkin (“Little Miss Sunshine”) and Jennifer Hudson (“Dreamgirls”) went on to Oscar wins.


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