Uh-oh! Are ‘Modern Family’ and ‘Homeland’ in trouble at Emmys after being skunked at Creative Arts?

Despite winning top honors just twelve months ago, “Modern Family” and “Homeland” were skunked at Sunday’s Creative Arts Emmys.

What does this mean for TV’s reigning champs at next week’s Primetime Emmys ceremony?

Historically, the craft awards, which are doled out the week prior to the major Emmys, reveal signs and patterns of what’s going on in the minds of voters. But recently, there has been an odd disconnect between what wins at the Creative Arts and what prevails at the Primetime ceremony.

In 2010, the first season of “Modern Family” won three of its five Creative Arts bids — Casting, Editing and Sound Mixing — before going on to take the top prize the following week. However, the show came up short in 2011 at the Creative Arts, failing to win any of its four races but still took home Comedy Series. Last year it managed to get back into the game with one craft win (Sound Mixing) out of three nominations and went on to make it three in a row as best laffer. This year, it lost all four of its Creative Arts categories. 

Is “Modern Family’s” loss good news for “Louie,” which hopes to win its first-ever series bid next week? The FX sitcom scored one big win on Sunday for Melissa Leo as Comedy Guest Actress.

On the drama side, “Homeland” reaped two Creative Arts wins in 2012 — Casting and Editing — from four bids before going on to claim Best Drama Series. Before that, “Mad Men” was a four-time champion for Best Drama Series and it managed to win at least one craft award in each of those years: Main Titles, Hairstyling, Cinematography and Art Direction in 2008, Hairstyling in 2009, Casting and Hairstyling in 2010 and Hairstyling in 2011.

That “Homeland” lost all three of its categories at this year’s Creative Arts doesn’t rule out it repeating as Best Drama Series. However, it certainly doesn’t help especially as all of the show’s competitors except “Mad Men” won at least one craft award on Sunday: “Breaking Bad” made the cut for Editing, “Downton Abbey” scored Music Composition, “Game of Thrones” claimed Makeup and Visual Effects and “House of Cards” took Casting and Cinematography.

Last year, “Game of Thrones” earned six craft awards but didn’t win a single Emmy during the primetime show. In 2011, “Boardwalk Empire” was the talk of the town after taking home seven craft trophies, but it had only one win the following week — Best Drama Director Martin Scorsese.

Below, cast your ballot for Best Drama Series using our easy drag-and-drop menu.

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