Who are the nine men with best odds to win Drama Actor at Emmys?

By canvassing experts, editors and users, Gold Derby has determined that there are nine men still in contention to reap bids for Best Drama Actor this year. Only six will make the final cut when Emmy nominations are unveiled on July 18.

Those men with odds to win of better than 100/1 from any group in our poll — our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, and Overall Users — are profiled below. 

Three-time category winner Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad“) leads the pack with odds of 9/4. Those great odds are generated from the support of 10 Experts, one Editor (Rob Licuria), seven of our Top 24 Users and 30% of Overall Users. Experts in his corner are Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum (TV Guide), Mike Cidoni (Associated Press), Lynn Elber (Associated Press), John Kubicek (Buddy TV), Daniel Manu (TV Without Pity), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), and Ken Tucker (Entertainment Weekly).

Last year, Damian Lewis (“Homeland“) defeated frontrunner Cranston with his first-ever Emmy bid. He has odds of 10/3 to repeat based on the support of five Editors (Chris Beachum, Darrin Dortch, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, and David Schnelwar), four of our Top 24 Users, and 22% of Overall Users.

Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards“), who is starring in his first-ever TV series, lost his two previous Emmy bids over on the movie/mini side. With votes from four Experts, one Editor (Marcus Dixon), one Top 24 User, and 14% of Overall Users, he has odds of 11/2 to add an Emmy to his two Oscars and one Tony. Experts backing him are Steve Pond (The Wrap), Matt Roush (TV Guide), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), and Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times).

Jon Hamm (“Mad Men“) has contended for every season of this one-time Emmy favorite but lost all five of those races. None of our Experts or Editors expect him to win this year and, with support from only 11% of our Overall Users, he has odds of 9/1. 

Jeff Daniels (“The Newsroom“) has 10/1 odds to win on his first nomination as 7% of our Overall Users predict him to prevail.

Steve Buscemi (“Boardwalk Empire“) has lost two consecutive bids for this role and has odds of  25/1 with support from 5% of Overall Users.

Matthew Rhys (“The Americans“) is on the cusp of contending for the first time. He has 33/1 odds with everyone but our Experts.

While Hugh Bonneville (“Downton Abbey“) was nominated last year, he is in eighth place this time around with odds of 50/1.

Timothy Olyphant (“Justified“) was nominated in 2011 but snubbed last year. While his overall odds are at 100/1, he has enough support from our Experts for odds of 50/1 from them. 

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