Emmy predictions: ‘Modern Family’ & ‘Breaking Bad’ will win three each

Gold Derby forecasts that the laffer “Modern Family” and the dark drama “Breaking Bad” will dominate Sunday’s Primetime Emmy Awards. Each is expected to take the top prize in their genre as well as win two acting awards apiece. (Cast your vote for Best Comedy Series at the bottom of this post.)

Among telefilms and miniseries, “Behind the Candelabra” is on track to come out ahead in four races. When added to the eight trophies it claimed at the Creative Arts last Sunday, this HBO biopic of Liberace will have won an even dozen Emmys, thereby besting the record set by the TV movie “Eleanor and Franklin” back in 1976. 

For a breakdown of the winners (and potential spoilers) by category, click here.


Modern Family” is forecast to win three of its seven bids: Comedy Series, Supporting Actor (Ty Burrell), Supporting Actress (Julie Bowen). 

Louie”  is forecast to win two of its four bids: Comedy Actor (Louis C.K.), Comedy Directing. Add in the one win at the Creative Arts for guest actress Melissa Leo for a total haul of three. 

Veep” is forecast to win one of its four bids: Comedy Actress (Julia Louis-Dreyfus).

30 Rock” is forecast to win one of its seven bids: Comedy Writing.


Breaking Bad” is forecast to win three of its eight bids: Drama Series, Drama Actor (Bryan Cranston), Drama Supporting Actress (Anna Gunn). Add in the Picture Editing prize from the Creative Arts for a total of four Emmys in all. 

Homeland” is forecast to win three of its seven bids: Drama Actress (Claire Danes), Drama Supporting Actor (Mandy Patinkin), Drama Writing. 

House of Cards” is forecast to win one of its four bids: Drama Directing. Add in the Creative Arts awards for Casting and Cinematography and three times is the charm for the first online-only series to triumph at the Emmys. 


Behind the Candelabra” is forecast to win four of its six bids: TV Movie/Miniseries, Actor (Michael Douglas), Directing, Writing. It prevailed in eight races at the Creative Arts awards: Art Direction, Casting, Costumes, Hairstyling, Makeup, Picture Editing, Prosthetic Makeup and Sound Mixing. 

“American Horror Story” is forecast to win three of its five bids: TV Movie/Miniseries Actress (Jessica Lange), Supporting Actor (James Cromwell), Supporting Actress (Sarah Paulson). 

Programs with multiple nominations set to be shut out are:

Seven bids
“Downton Abbey” [it won Music Composition at Creative Arts]

Five bids
“Top of the Lake” [it won Cinematography at the Creative Arts]

Four bids
“The Big Bang Theory” [it won Guest Actor (Bob Newhart) and Technical Direction at the Creative Arts]

“Mad Men” [it lost all eight of its Creative Arts bids]

“Girls” [it lost its single Creative Arts bid as well]

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