Emmy experts vs. editors: Will ‘Modern Family’ or ‘Louie’ win Best Comedy?

There’s a sharp divide in the Primetime Emmy race for Best Comedy Series. Nine out of 13 experts polled expect “Modern Family” to win for the fourth year in a row: Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum (TV Guide Magazine), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Daniel Manu (TV Without Pity), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Ken Tucker, and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).

But has fatigue set in for “Modern Family” after three consecutive victories in the top race? Five out of our eight Gold Derby editors think so, betting on first-time nominee “Louie“: Rob Licuria, Matt Noble, Tom O’Neil, David Schnelwar, and Paul Sheehan. “Louie,” which airs on FX, would be only the second cable series to win the prize, following HBO’s “Sex and the City” in 2001, and it would be the first basic-cable program to do so.

Our users are divided, but a majority side with the experts: 41% favor “Modern Family” to win, while 27% think it’ll be “30 Rock” that claims its fourth Best Comedy prize. 13% side with editors in picking “Louie” as the likely champ.

Our top 24 users mostly fall in line with their fellow users: 13 predict “Modern Family,” eight pick “30 Rock,” and only one favors “Louie.”

Can “Louie” or “30 Rock” come from behind, or will “Modern Family” continue to dominate? Make your Best Comedy predictions below:

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