Emmy expert Robert Bianco picks ‘Modern Family,’ ‘Breaking Bad’…

USA Today‘s Robert Bianco scored the highest percentage among experts when he predicted Emmy winners last year. Will he lead the way in 2013 as well?

He’s predicting a number of repeat winners in the comedy field, giving 2012 champs Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Best Comedy Actress, “Veep“) and Julie Bowen (Best Comedy Supporting Actress, “Modern Family“) best odds to win again; 2011 Comedy Supporting Actor champ Ty Burrell (“Modern Family”) is also favored to prevail.

He bets on Louis C.K. to win Comedy Writing and Comedy Directing for “Louie,” as well as Comedy Actor, not to mention Best Variety Special for his HBO standup event “Oh My God.” However, Bianco doesn’t expect “Louie” to win the top prize. He thinks “Modern Family” will win Comedy Series for the fourth year in a row.

But he doesn’t expect a repeat for 2012’s Best Drama winner, “Homeland.” Instead, he predicts Showtime’s espionage drama will be bested by AMC’s “Breaking Bad,” which recently began airing its final eight episodes. He also picks “Breaking” star Bryan Cranston to win Best Drama Actor, which would tie him with Dennis Franz (“NYPD Blue”) as the most honored actor in the category with four wins.

Bianco does, however, predict “Homeland” to prevail in two of its five acting races: Best Drama Actress for Claire Danes, who also won last year, and Best Drama Supporting Actor for Mandy Patinkin, who earned his first nomination for this role after a surprising snub last year.

He agrees with the consensus that “Behind the Candelabra” will win Best Movie/Miniseries and that its star Michael Douglas will win Best Movie/Mini Actor, but he believes “Top of the Lake” will also be well rewarded, winning acting honors for Elisabeth Moss and Peter Mullan and upsetting “Candelabra’s” Steven Soderbergh to win Best Movie/Mini Directing.

Click here to see the rest of Biacno’s predictions, and make your own below:

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