Updated Oscar predictions from 23 Experts: ’12 Years a Slave’ poised to sweep

A week after opening in limited release to rave reviews and respectable box office, “12 Years a Slave”  still leads the Best Picture lineup at the Oscars with 15 pundits picking it to prevail. That support gives it odds of 7 to 2. Compare that to five votes and odds of 11 to 2 for the blockbuster smash “Gravity” and three votes and odds of 15 to 2 for the still-unseen “American Hustle.”.

Likewise, for Best Director “12 Years” helmer Steve McQueen is ahead of “Gravity” writer/director Alfonso Cuaron by a score of 13 Experts (and odds of 21 to 10) to seven (and odds of 27 to 10) with “Hustle” writer/director David O. Russell in third with three votes and odds of 11 to 2. 

“12 Years” star Chiwetel Ejiofor (“12 Years a Slave”) maintains his slim lead in Best Actor with 11 votes and 23/10 odds, followed closely by Robert Redford (“All is Lost“) with 10 votes and 3/1 odds while Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club“) and Tom Hanks (“Captain Phillips“) have one vote apiece and 11/2 odds.

And two of the featured players in “12 Years” are tipped to take the supporting awards: Lupita Nyongo extends her lead over one-time frontrunner Oprah Winfrey (“The Butler“) to 14 votes (and odds of 2 to 1) versus nine (and odds of 27 to 10) while Michael Fassbender has a one-vote edge over Jared Leto (“Dallas Buyers Club“). That is good enough for odds of 9/4 versus 12/5. 

Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine“) continues to dominate the Best Actress category with 18 votes and 13/8 odds, Sandra Bullock in “Gravity” has chipped into her lead with five votes and 14/5 odds.

See the full list of odds and rankings here. And see how each Expert ranks each category here.

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