Experts’ Golden Globes predictions: ’12 Years a Slave,’ Bullock & Winfrey far ahead of Oscar rivals

Our first wave of Experts have weighed in with their Golden Globe predictions and they differ to a degree from the state of the Oscar race. 

While part of this discrepancy may be due to a smaller sample size (nine Experts here versus 22 weighing in on the Oscars), it also takes into account the different voting patterns of the 90 journalists who make up the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. compared to the 5800 members of the motion picture academy.  

An overwhelming majority of our Experts (seven of the nine) expect “12 Years a Slave” to take Best Drama at the Globes over “Gravity.” Compare that result to the Oscars, where it is only ahead by a ratio of two to one

However, almost as many of our Experts (six of nine) predict “Gravity” helmer Alfonso Cuaron to win Best Director at the Globes. That is the reverse of the Oscars where “12 Years” director Steve McQueen is ahead by a clear majority. 

Although “12 Years” star Chiwetel Ejiofor is locked in a tight race at the Oscars with Robert Redford (“All is Lost”), our Experts expect him to win Best Drama Actor at the Globes by a margin of six to one (with two of our pundits picking Matthew McConaughey for “Dallas Buyers Club.”)

And while Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine“) remains far out in front at the Oscars over Sandra Bullock (“Gravity”), our Experts favor Bullock for Best Drama Actress at the Globes seven to two.  

Michael Fassbender (“12 Years a Slave”) may be battling Jared Leto (“Dallas Buyers Club”) for the Oscar but he is ahead for the Supporting Actor Globe by a score of five to three. 

Experts’ Golden Globes predictions: Comedy categories still wide-open

And Oprah Winfrey may be tied with Lupita Nyongo (“12 Years a Slave”) for the Oscar but she is an absolute lock for the Supporting Actress award at the Globes with all nine Experts predicting her to prevail. 

Our nine Experts are: Thelma Adams (Yahoo!), Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Michael Musto (Gawker, Out), Gold Derby’s Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan, Keith Simanton (IMDb) and Peter Travers (Rolling Stone). Below, review their predictions category by category.

“12 Years A Slave”: Adams, Douglas, Geier, Khan, Musto, Simanton, Travers

“Gravity”: O’Neil, Sheehan

Chiwetel Ejiofor (“12 Years a Slave”): Adams, Geier, Khan, Musto, Simanton, Travers

Matthew McConaughey(“Dallas Buyers Club”): Douglas, Sheehan

Robert Redford(“All is Lost”): O’Neil

Sandra Bullock (“Gravity”): Adams, Douglas, Geier, Musto, O’Neil, Sheehan, Simanton,

Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine”): Khan, Travers

Michael Fassbender (“12 Years a Slave”): Douglas, Geier, Khan, Musto, Simanton

Jared Leto (“Dallas Buyers Club”): Adams, Sheehan, Travers

Tom Hanks (“Saving Mr. Banks”): O’Neil

Oprah Winfrey (“The Butler”): Adams, Douglas, Geier, Khan, Musto, O’Neil, Sheehan, Simanton, Travers

Alfonso Cuaron (“Gravity”): Adams, Douglas, Geier, Khan, O’Neil, Sheehan

Steve McQueen (“12 Years a Slave”): Musto, Simanton, Travers

“12 Years a Slave”: Adams, Douglas, Geier, Musto, O’Neil, Sheehan, Simanton, Travers

“American Hustle”: Khan

What do you think is going to win Best Drama Picture? Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu.

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