Uh, oh: Is ‘Homeland’ in trouble at Golden Globes?

Although “Homeland” won Best TV Drama at the Globes for each of its first two seasons, the Showtime series may not be able to pull off a three-peat this year if critical reaction to the current run of episodes is anything to go by. 

While USA Today critic Robert Bianco gave the third season four stars, more reviews were along the lines of this pan by New York Times scribe Alessandra Stanley who said that the show “doesn’t just stretch credulity, it tries patience.” Its Metacritic score — which rose from 91 for season one to a jaw-dropping 96 for the sophomore season — has plummeted to 77.  

And that was before the fourth episode aired on Oct. 20, with a twist ending that left critics calling for the show’s head. [SPOILERS AHEAD

That episode concluded with the revelation that Carrie’s (Claire Danes) recent hospitalization and her public shaming by Saul (Mandy Patinkin) were part of a plan to coax a terrorist out of hiding.

Critics howled at this twist. Tim Goodman wrote a scathing column in the Hollywood Reporter, condemning it as “lazy and dangerous” and concluded “It might just be easier to watch ‘Homeland’ with the understanding that the greatness in season one was a fluke and expectations should be adjusted accordingly at this point.” Tv.com’s Tim Surrette called the twist “garbage” while Maureen Ryan (Huffington Post) dubbed it “truly awful.”

The Golden Globes were the first kudos to fete “Homeland,” with both the show and Danes winning in January, 2012. At that fall’s Emmys, it won Best Drama Series and writing while Danes and co-star Damian Lewis claimed the lead acting prizes. It then swept the January 2013 Globes, with repeat wins for the series and Danes and a first trophy for Lewis. However, at the recent Emmys, Danes won again as did the writers but the series lost to “Breaking Bad” while Lewis was bested by Jeff Daniels (“The Newsroom”). 

The upcoming editions of the Globes and SAG Awards (Danes won there last year) will give us clues as to how it might fare at next year’s Emmys. Lewis is reportedly only in five episodes this season, so he may not even qualify for consideration. 

Our current odds for the Globes have the series in second place (at 4 to 1) behind the final season of “Breaking Bad” with odds of 19 to 10. That AMC show lost its only Globes bid for Best Drama to “Homeland” last year. “Bad” star Bryan Cranston is favored to finally win TV Drama Actor on his fourth bid with Lewis in third behind Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”). However, Danes is predicted to prevail for a third time.

This same scenario is likely to play out at the SAG Awards as well

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