Will Movie/Mini Actor race at Emmys have only HBO nominees?

Five years ago, HBO was guaranteed wins in both the lead and supporting actor races at the Emmys as all the nominees hailed from fare that aired on the paycaster. Paul Giamatti and Tom Wilkinson took those respective races for “John Adams,” the miniseries which set a record for most wins (13). 

Wilkinson had also been among the lead nominees for his role in “Recount” as was Kevin Spacey with Ralph Fiennes (“Bernard and Doris”) and Ricky Gervais (“Extras: The Movie”) rounding out that category. To win the supporting award, Wilkinson bested co-stars from both “John Adams” (Stephen Dillane, David Morse) and “Recount” (Bob Balaban, Denis Leary). 

While FX is likely to score a slew of supporting bids for the men of “American Horror Story: Asylum,” HBO is predicted to own the Movie/Mini Actor category again this year.

According to our editors, experts and users, two-time Oscar winner Michael Douglas leads the derby for his dazzling performance as Liberace in “Behind the Candelabra.” He has odds of 8 to 5 to win his first Emmy. 

Another Oscar champ, Al Pacino, is ranked second for his work as the title character in “Phil Spector.” In any other year, the celebrated actor’s winning streak would be intact; he has gone two for two in this category for HBO programs (“Angels in America” in 2004 and “You Don’t Know Jack” in 2010). He has odds of 4 to 1 to score a three-peat. 

Douglas’ co-star Matt Damon, who played Liberace’s love interest, is ranked third with odds of 5 to 1. 

Rounding out the race are contenders from BBC co-productions. Benedict Cumberbatch, a nominee last year for his breakthrough role as Sherlock Holmes in “Sherlock”, ranks fourth with odds of 15 to 2 for his turn in the period miniseries adaptation of the literary classic “Parade’s End”.

And British character actor Toby Jones has odds of 10 to 1 to prevail for playing legendary director Alfred Hitchcock in “The Girl.”

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