Experts’ updated Oscars predix: Ejiofor over Redford for Best Actor but McConaughey, Hanks in play

Chiwetel Ejiofor (“12 Years a Slave“) continues to stay just ahead of Robert Redford (“All is Lost“) in the increasingly tight Best Actor race as per our Oscarologists’ updated predictions. However, watch out for Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club“) and Tom Hanks (“Captain Phillips“) who have seen support rise as their movies screen. 

Eleven Experts still expect Ejiofor to prevail: Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Mary Milliken (Reuters), Michael Musto (Out, Gawker),Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Sasha Stone (AwardsDaily), Alex Suskind (Moviefone), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere).

Seven pundits continue to back the bid by Redford: Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly), Guy Lodge (HitFix), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Steve Pond (TheWrap) and  Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times).

McConaughey picked up one vote as Edward Douglas (Comingsoon) joins Susan Wloszczyna ( while Hanks has the support of Gold Derby’s Paul Sheehan.

See the Experts’ latest rankings here. Latest racetrack odds: Ejiofor’s lead has narrowed to 9 to 4 (from 23 to 10) while Redford is now at 14 to 5 (down from 13 to 5). McConaughey and Hanks have seen their odds get better at 5 to 1 and 15 to 2 respectively. See the full breakdown here.

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Below, some pundits explain their Best Actor predix.

Scott Feinberg, Hollywood Reporter: This is a guy who has starred in a zillion movies that are regarded as all-time greats, but been nominated for acting only once — 40 years ago! Moreover, he’s as great as ever in the one-man show that is ‘All Is Lost.’ Just picture the moment that Jennifer Lawrence announces the best actor winner … he will receive a 5 minute long standing ovation.

Susan Wloszczyna, Ejiofor is incredible and what he endures extreme. Redford is beyond overdue. But McConaughey’s reinvention as an actor demands to be celebrated and you could not find a better movie to show how fine he has become as a performer than Dallas Buyers Club. I am guessing this could be his year.

Edward Douglas, Comingsoon: Having not seen All Is Lost I can’t vouch for Robert Redford’s performance but I do think he has a much better chance than Chiwetel Ejiofor, who is very good but nothing that exceptional, more of a reactionary performance. I do think Tom Hanks’ performance in Captain Phillips is definitely going to help him be taken seriously as a frontrunner especially if he receives a second nomination for Saving Mr. Banks.

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