SAG Awards nominations predictions: ’12 Years a Slave,’ Cate Blanchett, Oprah …

Not surprisingly, the Screen Actors Guild Awards is the best precursor of the lineup in the four acting categories at the Oscars. Last year, 14 of the 20 SAG nominees went on to reap Oscar bids. In 2012, it was 17 out of 20. And, in both years, three of the four SAG champs took home Oscars. 

The guild is less reliable when predicting Best Picture. In the 18-year history of the Best Ensemble award, that winner went on to take Oscar’s top prize only nine times. However, SAG did presage two of Oscar’s biggest upsets: “Shakespeare in Love” over “Saving Private Ryan” in 1998, and “Crash” over “Brokeback Mountain” in 2005.

Below, our predictions for Wednesday’s nominees in the five film races. Our forecasted champs are in gold while potential spoilers for nominations are in italics. 

Click on each category title to be taken to an overview of that race (And be sure to check out the breakdown by picture here.)

12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County
The Butler
The Wolf of Wall Street

Spoiler: “Blue Jasmine

Chiwetel Ejiofor, “12 Years a Slave”
Matthew McConaughey, “Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, “All is Lost
Tom Hanks, “Captain Phillips
Bruce Dern, “Nebraska

Spoiler: Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Wolf of Wall Street

Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, “Gravity
Meryl Streep, “August: Osage County
Judi Dench, “Philomena
Emma Thompson, “Saving Mr. Banks

Spoiler: Amy Adams, “American Hustle

Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club
Michael Fassbender, “12 Years a Slave”
Tom Hanks, “Saving Mr. Banks
Bradley Cooper, “American Hustle”
John Goodman, “Inside Llewyn Davis

Spoiler: Daniel Bruhl, “Rush

Oprah Winfrey, “The Butler
Lupita Nyongo, “12 Years a Slave”
Julia Roberts, “August: Osage County”
Jennifer Lawrence, “American Hustle”
June Squibb, “Nebraska

Spoiler: Octavia Spencer, “Fruitvale Station

What do you think will win Best Film Ensemble. Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu. 

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