5 reasons why ‘Breaking Bad’ will win Best Drama Series at Emmys

Vince Gilligan, is your Emmy speech ready?

According to Gold Derby’s combined predictions for Best Drama Series, “Breaking Bad” will easily win its second consecutive trophy at Monday’s 66th Primetime Emmys. The show is up for the buzzed-about second half of Season 5, having just won last year for the first half of that season. Below, our Top 5 (and-a-half) reasons why “Breaking Bad’s” final season will win Best Drama Series at the Emmys.

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1. It’s the odds-on favorite
Unlike last year when many awards pundits were split between “Breaking Bad” and “Homeland” for Best Drama Series, this year 100% of Gold Derby’s Experts and 100% of our Editors are predicting “Breaking Bad” for the win, giving it nearly unbeatable odds of 1/5. It’s a rare occasion when all of our predictors agree so completely, so when that happens, you can take it to the bank.

2. The competition has given up
Immediately after “Ozymandias” aired last year, one of “Breaking Bad’s” chief competitors, “Game of Thrones” creator George R.R. Martin, wrote, “Amazing series. Amazing episode last night. Talk about a gut punch. There’s no way in hell that anyone is going to defeat ‘Breaking Bad’ next year, when their last season is the one in contention. Walter White is bigger monster than anybody in Westeros. I need to do something about that.”

3. It dominated all precursors
After winning the Drama Series Emmy in 2013, “Breaking Bad” went on a dominating winning streak unlike no other, earning top kudos at the Golden Globes, SAG Awards, WGA Awards, DGA Awards, Critics’ Choice TV Awards, TCA Awards and now the Gold Derby TV Awards. Whew!

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4. Unanimous support from critics
Season 5 of “Breaking Bad” received a series-high score of 99 at Metacritic. It’s by far the most well-received drama series amongst journalists and critics, with the other five nominees’ eligible seasons reaping scores of 94 (“Game of Thrones”), 85 (“Mad Men“), 87 (“True Detective“), 80 (“House of Cards“) and 72 (“Downton Abbey“).

5. It broke ratings records
Who cares what the critics think, right? The real vote of confidence for the show’s final season came from TV viewers, where word-of-mouth and fan buzz were impossible to ignore. Ratings went through the roof for each new episode, with the series finale “Felina” clocking in at over 10 million. That’s triple the amount of viewers that started watching Season 5 in 2012.

Bonus reason: Twice the drama, half the fun
Still confused how “Breaking Bad” was able to split its final season in half and be eligible for both? Well, look no further than the final year of “The Sopranos,” which split up Season 6 into two halves that aired over two Emmy eligibility periods (2006 and 2007). The HBO mob drama won the Best Drama Series Emmy for its final half-season of nine episodes. If Emmy history repeats itself, “Breaking Bad” should also win for its final half-season of eight episodes, and hey, “Mad Men” could even win next year for its final half-season of seven episodes in 2015.

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Gold Derby’s racetrack odds that combine the predictions of our Experts, Editors and Users currently find “Breaking Bad” in first place to win with 1/5 odds, followed by “True Detective” in second place with 12/1 odds, “Game of Thrones” in third place with 33/1 odds, “House of Cards” in fourth place with 50/1 odds, and “Downton Abbey” and “Mad Men” tied for last place with 100/1 odds.

Below, watch Gold Derby Editors’ predictions slugfest for Best Drama Series. We analyze the pros and cons of each nominated program and declare the winner to be “Breaking Bad.”

Do you agree or disagree? Be sure to cast your own votes in this race using our easy drag-and-drop menu.

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