Are ‘Modern Family’ & ‘Veep’ in trouble at Emmys after ‘Orange is the New Black’ Creative Arts wins?

At Saturday’s Creative Arts ceremony, Emmy voters seemed to take a firm stand in the great Comedy Series battle of 2014. When it comes to “Modern Family” vs. “Veep” vs. “Orange is the New Black,” TV academy voters awarded three Emmys to “Orange” (Best Casting, Best Editing and Best Comedy Guest Actress for Uzo Aduba) and none to either of the other pair of frontrunners.

So, is this hot Emmy race essentially a lock for “Orange” to win Best Comedy Series? Not so fast, Emmy watchers.

Creative Arts Emmys: The good, the bad and the ugly

Last year “Modern Familywas completely shut out at the Creative Arts, and yet the highly-rated ABC laffer still rebounded at the main show by claiming its fourth consecutive Best Comedy Series title and Best Comedy Directing for Gail Mancuso. That was the second time the show was skunked at the Creative Arts, the first being Season 2 in 2011.

Hey, does “Modern Family” EVER win at the Creative Arts? Yes, for its breakout first year in 2010, the ABC laffer did score a trio of craft kudos: Best Casting, Best Editing and Best Sound Mixing. And for Season 3 in 2012 it earned a single trophy for Best Sound Mixing, for a total of four Creative Arts Emmys over its first four seasons. Compare that to its whopping 14 victories so far at the main Primetime Emmys telecast (five for acting, four for producing, three for directing and two for writing), which is where the show has always shined the biggest and brightest.

And what about “Veep”? After all, this Julia Louis-Dreyfus vehicle was the one-time frontrunner to take down “Modern Family” and stop it from tying “Frasier’s” all-time series record of five wins. But unfortunately for “Veep” fans, the HBO political comedy has yet to win at the Creative Arts, including this year where it went zero for four. So far, all three of “Veep’s” Emmy wins have come at the high-profile main ceremony: two Comedy Actress triumphs for Louis-Dreyfus and one Supporting Actor victory for Tony Hale.

Orange is the New Black’ stars rule red carpet
at Creative Arts Emmys (Exclusive Video)

So, if “Modern Family” was able to claim Best Comedy Series twice after coming up empty-handed at the Creative Arts, it may not be wise to discount their chances next week, especially when taking into consideration that “Orange’s” three victories were pretty much expected. The Netflix dramedy has the biggest cast on all of television, as Emmy-winning casting director Jennifer Euston informed us during our recent Emmys chat. And several actresses are now household names after being complete unknowns a year ago, thus making Best Comedy Casting a definite lock.

As for Best Editing, Emmy-winning cutter William Turro prevailed for one of the show’s most famous episodes, “Tit Punch.” But don’t forget that there were actually three “Orange” episodes in the editing race, so it had the upper hand in claiming that trophy thanks to sheer numbers. Similarly, Aduba was one of three Comedy Guest Actress nominees in her category (Laverne Cox and Natasha Lyonne were the others), making a win there a foregone conclusion.

Long story short, nothing out of the ordinary happened at the Creative Arts in regards to these three series. “Modern Family” once again came up empty-handed, just like it did in 2011 and 2013. “Veep” failed to win anything, matching its poor showings from Seasons 1 and 2. And “Orange” officially grabbed hold of the three Emmys it was predicted to.

Creative Arts Emmy winners: ‘Orange is the New Black,’ ‘Game of Thrones,’ …

If anything, the Creative Arts Emmys just reiterated what we already know: this year’s Best Comedy Series race is one for the record books.

Gold Derby’s racetrack odds that combine the predictions of our Experts, Editors and Users currently find “Modern Family” in first place to win with 3/2 odds, followed by “Orange is the New Black” in second place with 2/1 odds, “Veep” in third place with 9/2 odds, “Louie” in fourth place with 25/1 odds, “The Big Bang Theory” in fifth place with 33/1 odds and “Silicon Valley” in last place with 100/1 odds.

Below, watch Gold Derby Editors’ predictions slugfest for Best Comedy Series. We analyze the pros and cons of each nominated program and declare the winner to be “Modern Family.” Do you agree or disagree? Be sure to cast your own votes in this race using our easy drag-and-drop menu.

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