Miley Cyrus will finally win at MTV VMAs, and it’ll be Video of the Year

Miley Cyrus caused a stir at last year’s MTV Video Music Awards by twerking with Robin Thicke, but despite a passionate fan base and six previous nominations – including four last year for “We Can’t Stop” – she has yet to win a Moonman. But that’s likely to change. Our odds favor her to win this year for “Wrecking Ball,” and it’ll be the big one: Video of the Year.

MTV VMAs to honor Beyonce with Vanguard Award

Cyrus leads the race with odds of 23/10, but she’ll need to watch out for Beyonce, who gets 10/3 odds for her collaboration with husband Jay-Z, “Drunk in Love.” She previously won the category in 2009 for “Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It),” and he won with Rihanna in 2007 for “Umbrella.” To date, only Rihanna and Eminem have ever won the category twice, so the super-couple could make history together.

MTV recently announced that Beyonce would receive the Video Vanguard Award, but that doesn’t mean she can’t win the top prize too. Justin Timberlake won both just last year.

Pharrell Williams is also a major threat. His ubiquitous hit “Happy” is a close third with 7/2 odds. He has four total nominations this year: three for “Happy” and one for “Sing” with Ed Sheeran. Like Cyrus, he has yet to win a Moonman.

Australian artist Iggy Azalea contends for the first time at the VMAs. Her single “Fancy” has been a blockbuster hit this summer, and the “Clueless”-inspired video has four total nominations, but our predictors rank it fourth with 6/1 odds.

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Fellow Aussie Sia is also nominated at the VMAs for the first time. Her “Chandelier” also contends for Best Choreography, but it ranks last in the Video of the Year race with 8/1 odds.

Do you agree with our odds? Make your predictions below.

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