Oscars experts: Eddie Redmayne now tied with Michael Keaton, ‘Birdman’ in second for Best Picture

Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything“) has moved into a tie with long-time leader Michael Keaton (“Birdman“) in the Best Actor race. Each is now backed by 11 of our 25 Oscarologists. However, Keaton is ranked slightly higher than Redmayne by those pundits not predicting each of them to prevail. That gives him a slight edge in the odds. He is at 23 to 10 to win for his performance as an actor on the comeback trail while Redmayne is at 12/5 for his portrayal of wheelchair bound scientist Stephen Hawking

Benedict Cumberbatch is ranked first by two of our Experts —  Thelma Adams (Thelmadams.com) and Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post) — for his work in the WWII spy drama “The Imitation Game.” That support gives him odds of 6/1.

David Oyelowo has the backing of Keith Simanton (IMDB.com) for his uncanny incarnation of Martin Luther King, Jr. in “Selma.” Again, because he is ranked slightly higher than Cumberbatch by the other Experts, he also has odds of 6/1. 

The 11 Experts in Keaton’s corner are: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Thom GeierTariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Mary Milliken (Reuters), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Jenelle Riley (Variety), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire), and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

The 11 Experts touting Redmayne are: Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Pete Hammond (Deadline), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily),  Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times) and me. 

In the Best Picture race, “Boyhood” (odds of 4/1) remains far out front with the support of 17 of our 25 pundits.  “Birdman” — which led SAG, Globe and Critics’ Choice nominations — now has three boosters (up from two) and odds of 6/1. “Selma” has slipped to third with the backing of three Oscarologists (down from seven) and odds of 13/2. And “The Imitation Game” has two votes (up from one) and odds of 15/2. 

Click here to see charts revealing how all of our Experts rank the contenders in all top categories according to likelihood of winning. And click on each underlined category below to see the individual Experts predictions for that race. Then make your own predictions here. Be the best and win bragging rights AND $1,000. 

See latest Oscar rankings when the Experts’ predictions are combined

Our 25 Experts are predicting “Boyhood” to win five Academy Awards in all: Best Picture, Best Director (Richard Linklater), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette), Original Screenplay and Editing. 

Interstellar” is expected to take home three Oscars: Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. 

Birdman” will claim two Academy Awards — Best Actor (Michael Keaton), Cinematography.

Still Alice” is predicted to win Best Actress for Julianne Moore while Whiplash” should net an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor J.K. Simmons, and “The Imitation Game” is forecast to claim Adapted Screenplay.

Foxcatcher” is first for Makeup & Hairstyle, “The Grand Budapest Hotel” leads for Production Design, ‘Gone Girl” is ahead for Score and “Into the Woods” is predicted to take Costume Design.

Click here to see how our Experts rank contenders in top Oscar races. Click here to see the rankings and odds generated by combining their predictions.

Below: The Experts’ latest collective rankings and odds for the top six categories (click on each category to see more detailed results). 

Best Picture
1.  “Boyhood” – 4/1
2.  “Birdman” – 6/1
3.  “Selma” – 13/2
4.  “The Imitation Game” – 15/2
5.  “The Theory of Everything” – 10/1
6.  “Whiplash” – 16/1
7.  “Unbroken” – 20/1
8.  “Gone Girl”– 20/1
9.  “The Grand Budapest Hotel” – 20/1
10. “Foxcatcher” – 20/1

Change from last week: “Birdman” and “Selma” have switched places and odds as have “Whiplash” and “Unbroken.”  

Best Director
1. Richard Linklater, “Boyhood” – 9/5
2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Birdman” – 3/1
3. Ava DuVernay, “Selma”– 11/2
4. David Fincher, “Gone Girl” – 16/1
5. Morten Tyldum, “The  Imitation Game” – 20/1

Change from last week: David Fincher (“Gone Girl”) has moved up a notch while Morten Tyldum (“The  Imitation Game”) replaces Angelina Jolie (“Unbroken”) in the fifth slot. 

Best Actor
1. Michael Keaton, “Birdman” – 23/10
2. Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything” – 12/5
3. Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game” – 6/1
4. David Oyelowo, “Selma” – 6/1
5. Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher” – 12/1

Change from last week: The standings remain the same but Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything”) has improved his odds again. 

Best Actress
1. Julianne Moore, “Still Alice” – 13/8
2. Reese Witherspoon, “Wild” – 10/3
3. Rosamund PIke, “Gone Girl” – 13/2
4. Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything” – 15/2
5. Jennifer Aniston, “Cake”  – 10/1

Change from last week: Jennifer Aniston (“Cake”) has much better odds (up from 16/1).   

Best Supporting Actor
1. J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash” – 8/5
2. Edward Norton, “Birdman” – 10/3
3. Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood” – 11/2
4. Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher” – 6/1
5.Robert Duvall, “The Judge” – 25/1

Change from last week: SAG/Globe/Critic’s Choice nominee Robert Duvall (“The Judge”) replaced Tom Wilkinson (“Selma”) who was snubbed by all three of these kudos. 

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood” – 13/8
2. Emma Stone, “Birdman” – 5/1
3. Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods” – 6/1 
4. Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game” – 15/2
5. Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year” – 14/1 

Change from last week: Critics’ Choice/Globes nominee Jessica Chastain (“A Most Violent Year”) replaces Laura Dern (“Wild) who was snubbed by those groups and SAG. 

What are your Oscar predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Actor champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the Golden Globes, Grammys, “The Walking Dead,” “AHS: Freak Show” and more.

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