Oscar experts: Eddie Redmayne narrows Michael Keaton lead, ‘Selma’ cracks top five

Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything“) continues to narrow the lead long held by Michael Keaton (“Birdman“) in the Best Actor race. Now backed by nine of our 25 Oscarologists, he has odds of 13 to 5 to win Best Actor for his portrayal of wheelchair bound scientist Stephen Hawking. Keaton, with the support of 13 Experts, has odds of 9 to 4 to prevail on Oscar night for his performance as an actor on the comeback trail. 

Benedict Cumberbatch is ranked first by two of our Experts for his work in the WWII spy drama “The Imitation Game.” That support from Thelma Adams (Thelmadams.com) and Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post) gives him odds of 11/2. And Steve Carell has one vote (Scott Mantz, Access Hollywood) for his change-of-pace performance in “Foxcatcher” and odds of 9/1. 

The 13 Experts in Keaton’s corner are: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Thom GeierTariq Khan (Fox News), Mary Milliken (Reuters), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Jenelle Riley (Variety), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire),  Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

The nine Experts touting Redmayne are: Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times). 

Click here to see charts revealing how all of our Experts rank the contenders in all top categories according to likelihood of winning. And click on each underlined category below to see the individual Experts predictions for that race. Then make your own predictions here. Be the best and win bragging rights AND $1,000. 

Boyhood” (odds of 9/2) remains far out front with the support of 13 of our 25 pundits. “Unbroken” (odds of 15/2) is still in second place with seven Oscarologists picking it to prevail. “Birdman” has two boosters as does “Selma” (and odds of 15/2 and 10/1 respectively) while “The Imitation Game” has one vote and odds of 8/1. 

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Our 25 experts are predicting “Boyhood” to win five Academy Awards in all, including Best Director (Richard Linklater), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette), Original Screenplay and Editing. 

Interstellar” is expected to take home four Oscars: Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. 

Into the Woods” is predicted to prevail in three categories (Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Production Design).

Birdman” will claim two Academy Awards — Best Actor (Michael Keaton), Cinematography.

Still Alice” is predicted to win Best Actress for four-time Oscar bridesmaid Julianne Moore while Whiplash” should net an Oscar for Supporting Actor J.K. Simmons and Unbroken” is forecast to win Adapted Screenplay. 

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Click here to see how they rank contenders in top Oscar races. Click here to see the rankings and odds generated by combining the experts’ predictions.

Below: The experts’ latest collective rankings and odds for the top six categories (click on each category to see more detailed results). 

Best Picture
1.  “Boyhood” – 9/2
2.  “Unbroken” – 15/2
3.  “Birdman” – 15/2
4.  “The Imitation Game” – 8/1
5.  “Selma” – 12/1
6.  “The Theory of Everything” – 14/1
7.  “Gone Girl” – 16/1
8.  “Foxcatcher”– 16/1
9.  “Whiplash” – 25/1
10. “Interstellar” – 25/1

Change from last week: “Selma” switches places and odds with “The Theory of Everything.” And  “Interstellar” has improved its odds. 

Best Director
1. Richard Linklater, “Boyhood” – 23/10
2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Birdman” – 10/3
3. Angelina Jolie, “Unbroken” – 11/2
4. Ava DuVernay, “Selma” – 10/1
5. David Fincher, “Gone Girl” – 14/1

Change from last week: Richard Linklater (“Boyhood”) has strengthened his position while Ava DuVernay (“Selma”) and David Fincher (“Gone Girl”) replace Bennett Miller (“Foxcatcher”) and Christopher Nolan (“Interstellar”). 

Best Actor
1. Michael Keaton, “Birdman” – 9/4
2. Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything” – 13/5
3. Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game” – 11/2
4. David Oyelowo, “Selma” – 15/2
5. Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher” – 9/1

Change from last week: Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything”) narrows the gap while David Oyelowo (“Selma) drops back slightly. 

Best Actress
1. Julianne Moore, “Still Alice” – 19/10
2. Reese Witherspoon, “Wild” – 10/3
3. Rosamund PIke, “Gone Girl” – 13/2
4. Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything” – 8/1
5. Amy Adams, “Big Eyes” 12/1

Change from last week: Julianne Moore (“Still Alice”) has strengthened her lead while Amy Adams (“Big Eyes”) has seen her odds lengthen yet again. 

Best Supporting Actor
1. J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash” – 13/8
2. Edward Norton, “Birdman” – 10/3
3. Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher” – 11/2
4. Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood” – 6/1
5.Tom Wilkinson (“Selma”) – 33/1

Change from last week: Tom Wilkinson (“Selma”) is now alone in the fifth slot as Josh Brolin (“Inherent Vice”), Robert Duvall (“The Judge”) and Miyavi (“Unbroken) all move down the chart. 

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood” – 15/8
2. Laura Dern, “Wild” – 5/1
3. Emma Stone, “Birdman” – 11/2
4. Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game” – 6/1
5. Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods” – 12/1

Change from last week: The lineup and odds remain the same. 

What are your early Oscar predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Actor champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the Golden Globes, Grammys, “Survivor,” “The Voice,” “Dancing with the Stars” and more.

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