Does secret calendar pattern reveal next Oscars champ?

Ever since blockbuster “Million Dollar Baby” (2004) scored the Best Picture knock-out, we’ve seen a curious domestic box office trend among the top Oscar winners. All of the Best Pictures released in even-numbered years were hits that raked in more than $100 million, while all of the champs released in odd-numbered years made much less.

So whose turn is it this year — a blockbuster or an indie? Let’s look at early ticket sales from this year’s top Best Picture contenders to gain some perspective. Keep in mind that some Oscar flicks haven’t been released yet and others are still in limited runs.

Since 2012’s “Argo” earned $136 million and last year’s winner “12 Years a Slave” made only $56 million domestically, the pattern would suggest that 2014 is a year for a high-grossing film to take home the top prize. According to Gold Derby’s Experts, Editors and Users, there are two top contenders in our Top 11 that have already grossed more than $100 million: “Gone Girl” and “Interstellar.”

However, the most likely winner of this year’s Best Picture Oscar according to our odds is “Boyhood,” which has only amassed $24 million as of Dec. 23. Time will tell if the Richard Linklater-directed flick will claim victory and break the decade-long box office pattern.

Below, see the flip-flopping list of the past decade of Best Picture winners, courtesy of Box Office Mojo. Domestic totals higher than $100 million are in green, with the lower totals in red.

12 Years a Slave” (2013) – $56 million

Argo” (2012) – $136 million

The Artist” (2011) – $44 million

“The King’s Speech” (2010) – $135 million

“The Hurt Locker” (2009) – $17 million

“Slumdog Millionaire” (2008) – $141 million

“No Country for Old Men” (2007) – $74 million

“The Departed” (2006) – $132 million

“Crash” (2005) – $54 million

“Million Dollar Baby” (2004) – $100 million

What film do you think is going to win Best Picture? Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu. 

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