Best Oscar predictions: Mark Harris, Dave Karger and Peter Travers score 92%

Congratulations to Mark Harris (Grantland), Dave Karger (Fandango), and Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) for topping all Experts at predicting this year’s Academy Awards. Each of them were at a 92% accuracy rate, missing just two categories apiece.

As for the misses, Harris had “Get a Horse” (instead of “Mr. Hublot“) for Animated Short and “The Voorman Problem” (instead of “Helium“) for Live Action Short.

Karger had “American Hustle” for Original Screenplay (losing to “Her“) and “Get a Horse.”

Travers had “Feral” for Animated Short and “The Voorman Problem.”

After our three winners, there was then a seven-way tie at 88% (21 of 24 categories) between Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Kyle Buchanan (Vulture), Tim Hayne (Moviefone), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times), and Susan Wloszczyna (Roger Ebert).

Following them was an eight-way tie at 84% (20 of 24 categories) between Mike Cidoni (Associated Press), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Mary Milliken (Reuters), Michael Musto (Gawker, Out), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), and Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood).

Finishing with an 80% mark (19 of 24 correct) were Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (The Wrap), and Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post).

Next in line with 75% correct (18 of 24) were Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly) and Keith Simanton (IMDB).

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The final slot was held by Pete Hammond (Deadline), Guy Lodge (HitFix), and Claudia Puig (USA Today) with 71% accuracy (17 of 24).

All Experts had perfect scores in six categories: Alfonso Cuaron for Director, “Frozen” for Animated Feature, “Gravity” for Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, and Visual Effects, and “The Lady in Number 6” for Documentary Short.

Their worst categories were “Mr. Hublot” for Animated Short (3%), “Helium” for Live Action Short (37%), and “Her” for Original Screenplay.

Collectively, the Editors did best overall with 83%, followed by the Experts with 82%, and then the Users with 77%.

92% CORRECT (22 of 24):
Mark Harris (Grantland)
Dave Karger (Fandango)
Peter Travers (Rolling Stone)

88% CORRECT (21 of 24):
Thelma Adams (Yahoo)
Kyle Buchanan (Vulture)
Tim Hayne (Moviefone)
Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair)
Tariq Khan (Fox News)
Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times)
Susan Wloszczyna (Roger Ebert)

84% CORRECT (20 of 24):
Mike Cidoni (Associated Press)
Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood)
Mary Milliken (Reuters)
Michael Musto (Gawker, Out)
Kevin Polowy (Yahoo)
Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby)
Sasha Stone (Awards Daily)
Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood)

80% CORRECT (19 of 24):
Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes)
Edward Douglas (Coming Soon)
Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter)
Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)
Steve Pond (The Wrap)
Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post)

75% CORRECT (18 of 24):
Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly)
Keith Simanton (IMDB)

71% CORRECT (17 of 24):
Pete Hammond (Deadline)
Guy Lodge (HitFix)
Claudia Puig (USA Today)

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