Oscar Experts: ‘American Hustle’ vs. ’12 Years a Slave’ for Best Picture

Our first wave of Oscarologists have weighed in with their predictions as to what will win Best PictureThey are divided nine to five in favor of “12 Years a Slave” over “American Hustle.” That extra support gives it the edge in the odds at 8/11 versus 2/1. 

The nine Experts predicting “12 Years a Slave” to prevail on March 2 are: 
Michael Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes)
Mark Harris (Grantland)
Michael Musto (Gawker, Out.com)
Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)
Steve Pond (The Wrap)
Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post)
Sasha Stone (Awards Daily)
Peter Travers (Rolling Stone)
Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times)
Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com)

The five who favor “American Hustle” are:
Edward Douglas (Coming Soon)
Thom Geier (EW)
Tariq Khan (Fox News)
Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby)
Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood)

“12 Years a Slave” is coming off a great week, winning the Golden Globe for Best Drama last Sunday, earning nine Oscar nominations on Thursday morning, claiming the Critics’ Choice prize for Best Picture on Thursday night and sharing the PGA Award with “Gravity” this Sunday. 

“American Hustle” took Best Comedy/Musical at the Globes, shared the lead for most Oscar nominations with “Gravity” at 10 apiece, and claimed the Ensemble trophy at Saturday’s SAG Awards. 

Despite those 10 Oscar noms and sharing that prize at the PGA, “Gravity” does not have any first place votes. With four second-place finishes, its odds of winning the Best Picture Oscar are 50/1. 

The other six nominees for Best Picture —  “Captain Phillips,” “Dallas Buyers Club,” “Her,” “Nebraska,” “Philomena” and “The Wolf of Wall Street” — each have odds of 100/1. 

Review the individual predictions of our  Experts here.  And be sure to check out the Experts’ collective rankings and racetrack odds

Who do you think is going to win Best Picture? Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Come back and change your predictions as often as you like till Oscar night, March 2. 

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