The 22 members of our Oscars Experts panel have updated their predictions in light of the boffo box office this weekend of both the new #1 film “Fury” and the continuing success of “Gone Girl“. And they factored in the stellar performance of limited release “Birdman (which racked up $100,000 on each of four screens in its first weekend) as well as building buzz on two more contenders (“American Sniper” and “Unbroken“).
At this point in last year’s race, our Experts had already predicted 22 of the eventual 34 nominees in the top six races. And it is time to make your early picks too: CLICK HERE. Your predictions impact the notorious Gold Derby’s official racetrack odds that give heart attacks to Hollywood execs and stars. How can you not join the fun? Especially when there is a prize of $1,000 up for grabs. And don’t fret, you can change your predix as often as you wish. Indeed, we encourage frequent tweaks so we can track the latest momentum in the Oscar derby.
The 24 Users like you with the best scores will form a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 here and their early Oscar predictions. And meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account to get started and you can also compete to predict the winners of the Golden Globes, Grammys, “Survivor,” “The Voice,” “Dancing with the Stars” and more.
Click here to see charts revealing how all of our Experts rank the contenders in all top categories according to the likelihood of winning. And click on each underlined category below to see the individual Experts predictions for that race.
Even with all the new ponies in the derby, 10 Experts still expect “Boyhood” to win this top prize. As you can see from the graph at the bottom of the post, this innovative look at the life of a child as told in real-time over a dozen years has led the race since its release this summer.
The rest of the race breaks down as follows: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“Birdman”) has four votes, Angelina Jolie (“Unbroken”) is at three while Bennett Miller (“Foxcatcher”), Christopher Nolan (“Interstellar”) and Morten Tyldum (“The Imitation Game”) have one apiece.
With the critical and commerical success of “Birdman,” Michael Keaton now has 10 Experts backing him to win his first Oscar bid for his performance as a has-been actor hoping to stage a comeback in this sly satire on showbiz.
Julianne Moore (“Still Alice“) maintains her lead with an even dozen Experts expecting her to finally win an Oscar after four losses for her work as a college professor dealing with a diagnosis of early Alzheimer’s disease.
Four Experts forecast 2005 champ Reese Witherspoon (“Wild“) to pick up a bookend while another three expect Amy Adams (“Big Eyes“) to prevail with bid #6, two tout Rosamund Pike (“Gone Girl“) and one is backing Felicity Jones (“The Theory of Everything”).
Best Supporting Actor
After a solid opening for his showcase, J.K. Simmons (“Whiplash“) now has 18 Experts in his corner predicing him to win on his first Oscar bid for his scene-stealing role as a demanding music teacher in this Sundance sensation.
Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette (“Boyhood”) is looking even more like a lock this year with 19 Experts now predicting her to prevail for her portrayal of the mother at the heart of this family drama.
Click on the graph to see more stats and then make your own predictions for Best Picture at the bottom of this post using our easy drag-and-drop menu.