Oscars predictions slugfest: Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair) vs. Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)

The scandal over those star-bashing emails at Sony film studio could actually end up benefiting Angelina Jolie and her new film “Unbroken” at the Oscars, Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair) says in our webcam/podcast chat.

“Angelina had a very tough week with SAGs and Globes, but that was before these emails came out with Scott Rudin and Amy Pascal. Very shabby. Whatever the truth is about all of that stuff, Angelina came off as a real class act and I have a feeling that will build some sympathy for her.”

Like most of Gold Derby’s experts, Hogan has “Boyhood” out front for Best Picture, Director (Richard Linklater) and Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette), but he sides with me picking Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything”) over Michael Keaton (“Birdman”), who now has a slight edge in the Best Actor race. See latest rankings.

“Eddie has a much more inspirational role and he’s a very likable guy,” Hogan adds, adding that he’s impressed with the personable way Redmayne is handling his Oscar campaign. “He’s been absolutely around, shaking hands, smiling. He’s just a lovely guy to be in a room with.”

Hogan takes a left turn in the race for Best Actress and admits that his prediction may, in part, be wishful thinking.

“I really liked ‘Wild’ a lot,” he says, “and I think that Reese Witherspoon is not only a great actress, but she’s handling Phase 2 of her career very smartly, seeking out projects, taking charge of her own narrative, producing the movies, telling stories of women who have something to say.”

He hasn’t seen “Still Alice” yet, so he notes that he may switch his pick to Julianne Moore when he catches up with her performance, which is heavily favored by our experts. (See latest predix.)

See Hogan’s predictions here. See mine here. See how they compare side by side with the picks by our other Oscarologists.

Two options below: Watch our video slugfest or listen to the audio podcast. To hear more podcasts with our Expert contributors, do a search for Gold Derby at iTunes music story and subscribe or else check out our channel at Libsyn.

Here’s the podcast:


More News from GoldDerby