‘Selma’ and star David Oyelowo soar into Oscars race, say experts

Less than 48 hours after its premiere at the American Film Institute Festival on Tuesday, “Selma‘ has shaken up the Oscars race by rising up our Experts’ prediction charts to the Top 10 for Best Picture and Top 5 for Best Actor (David Oyelowo).

Fourteen of our two dozen Oscar Experts are predicting that this historical drama by Ava DuVernay will contend for Best Picture while an even dozen expect David Oyelowo to reap a Best Actor bid for playing Martin Luther King, Jr. Quite a few of our Experts have not seen “Selma,” so it may soon rise even higher in Gold Derby’s exclusive prediction charts once the film is more widely screened.

“Selma,” which gets a limited release on Christmas Day before going wide on Jan. 9, already has odds of 33/1 to take the top Oscar while Oyelowo is doing even better, with odds of 14/1 to win Best Actor

Watch for this groundswell of support to continue to grow as our other Oscarologists see this film, which is co-produced by Oprah Winfrey, who plays civil rights activist Annie Lee Cooper, and Brad Pitts Plan B which had last year’s Best Picture champ “12 Years a Slave.”

The 14 Experts forecasting a Best Picture nomination for this Paramount Vantage release are: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly), Dave Karger (Fandango), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo),  Steve Pond (The Wrap), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

See Oscar predictions of all of our ExpertsBest Picture and Best Actor

Whipp thinks that British import Oyelowo will win Best Actor while Geier, Mantz, Musto, Polowy, Sheehan, Sperling, Stone, Thompson, Travers are all predicting he will be nominated as are Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair) and Gold Derby founder Tom O’Neil.  

What are your early Oscar predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Actor champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the Golden Globes, Grammys, “Survivor,” “The Voice,” “Dancing with the Stars” and more.

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