Editors predict Supporting Actress Oscar: Is Patricia Arquette (‘Boyhood’) a lock?

Being an early frontrunner at the Oscars can be a double-edged sword, but one major race already has a decisive favorite: Best Supporting Actress, where Patricia Arquette has surged ahead for her 12-years-in-the-making role as the mother of a growing son in “Boyhood.” Will she hold on to her lead, or is she peaking too soon?

16 Oscar Experts predict Best Picture showdown:
Boyhood’ vs. ‘Birdman’ vs. ‘Unbroken’

Four out of five Gold Derby editors rank her first in the race. That matches our experts and users, who also predominantly predict her to win. It would be the first Oscar nomination for the actress, who actually won her Emmy for “Medium” during the period “Boyhood” was in production. Not bad for a dozen years’ work.

But one editor, Paul Sheehan, is predicting a win for Laura Dern as Reese Witherspoon‘s mom in “Wild.” It has been more than two decades since Dern was in contention at the Oscars; she earned her only previous nomination in 1991 for “Rambling Rose.”

Users battle over Best Director Oscar:
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Check out the graph below to see just how far ahead Arquette is with our editors (click the graph for more detailed odds):

Also, take a look at more of our editors’ Supporting Actress predictions. Can Vanessa Redgrave (“Foxcatcher“) or Meryl Streep (“Into the Woods“) ultimately overtake Arquette? (Click the chart for more editors’ predictions.)

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