“True Detective” led the TCA Award nominations with four, and it will also be the leading winner according to the combined predictions of our Editors and Users. It will take Program of the Year and Best Individual Achievement in Drama (Matthew McConaughey).
(For our complete predictions by category, click here.)
But just because we expect it to be named the year’s top program doesn’t mean it will sweep. The TCA tends to spread the wealth, which is why we’re expecting it to lose Best New Program to Netflix’s “Orange is the New Black” and Best Movie/Miniseries/Special to FX’s “Fargo.”
Such curious splits are common at the TCA, which rarely repeats winners in its top category. In 2013, “Breaking Bad” was the Program of the Year, while “Game of Thrones” was the Best Drama. But in 2012, it was the other way around.
“Breaking Bad” won’t go away empty handed this year, though. It’s expected to take Best Drama, where repeat winners are much more common; it previously won in 2010 and 2012. A third win in the category would tie it with “Homicide: Life on the Street,” “Lost,” and “Mad Men.” “The Sopranos” holds the record with four Best Drama victories.
“Veep” gets best odds to win both of its nominations: Best Comedy and Best Individual Achievement in Comedy for Julia Louis-Dreyfus. She would be just the fourth woman to win that prize, following Jane Kaczmarek (“Malcolm in the Middle,” 2000-2001), Tina Fey (“30 Rock,” 2008), and Jane Lynch (“Glee,” 2010).
Meanwhile, Best News and Information will go to the science series “Cosmos,” Best Reality Program will be awarded to “The Voice” for the first time (besting previous champs “Shark Tank” and “The Amazing Race“), and “The Fosters” will be the third consecutive ABC Family drama to win Best Youth Program, following “Switched at Birth” (2012) and “Bunheads” (2013).