ACM Awards: Eric Church aims to upset Miranda Lambert for Album of the Year

Miranda Lambert has won Album of the Year at the Academy of Country Music Awards for her last three consecutive albums: “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” (2007), “Revolution” (2009), and “Four the Record” (2011). So it might be foolish to bet against her for her latest effort, “Platinum.” But if ACM voters are looking for a change of pace, critical darling Eric Church is waiting in the wings with “The Outsiders.”

So who do you think will take home this award?

Get the best score predicting the champs in 11 categories at this Sunday’s kudos and you could win a $100 Amazon gift card. (Read our contest rules to see if you qualify.)

ACM Awards: Complete list of nominations

Lambert is the overwhelming favorite according to our predictions. She gets 1/5 odds based on support from all five Gold Derby Editors, 20 of our Top 24 Users (those readers who got the best scores predicting last year’s awards), and 79% of all Users.

Church trails with 10/1 odds, but 10% of Users expect him to pull off an upset. He’s also backed by three of our Top 24: aosorio19, darioc and Mike_Warren. Like Lambert, he’s a past Album of the Year champ (for “Chief” in 2012), so the rest of us may be underestimating him.

Dierks Bentley‘s “Riser” is even further behind with 25/1 odds. Only 4% of Users are betting on him to prevail, but so is one of our Top 24 – Derek Schultz – so we shouldn’t rule him out entirely.

Jason Aldean‘s “Old Boots, New Dirt” gets 50/1 odds with support from 4% of Users. He and Lambert are the only nominees in this race who also contend for Entertainer of the Year.

Little Big Town round out the category with their album “Pain Killer” and also get 50/1 odds. They have the least support from Users; only 3% predict them to win.

The ACM Awards have gotten progressively harder to predict in recent years. Last year, our overall odds managed a score of 18% while our Top 24 Users did slightly better with 27%. That was down from 2012, when we collectively predicted 36%, and way down from 2011, when we scored 55%. That means all of Gold Derby’s predictors are hoping to make a comeback, and you can help.

If you think you can predict this year’s ACM Awards better then our Editors, Top 24 and Users, click here to enter or edit your picks, or use our easy drag-and-drop menu below to get started. Your picks will be pooled together with the rest of ours to generate the official racetrack odds

Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean predicting the right winners. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don’t take them for granted.

Register/log in to your account so you can compete to predict the ACM Awards, as well as the Daytime Emmys, Primetime Emmys, and reality shows like “The Voice,” “Survivor,” “The Amazing Race,” “Dancing with the Stars,” “American Idol” and more.

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