‘Big Brother’ controversy: Is winning the first HOH risky gameplay?

Over in our reality TV forums, our users are debating whether or not winning the first HOH on “Big Brother” is a risk to that player’s game. Final2 and patmcb noticed how none of the houseguests threw the first HOH competition, all seeming to want to win. But 24Emmy retorts that the threat of winning the first HOH is a “common misconception because it hasn’t really hurt houseguests in the past.” Join the fun discussion by clicking here.

Who will win ‘Big Brother’? See exclusive predictions

Being HOH is always a risk because singling out two other contestants for eviction puts blood on their hands. But the very first HOH is generally believed to be an even more dangerous position because their decision is typically understood to be made on the little information and loose connections available in only a week of gameplay.

With so little having taken place, the first HOH is thrust into the spotlight as a challenge threat, having won a comp at a time when no one else has, and subsequently thrown into the pit of playing in the other comps that week as well. While being the decision-maker brings its own risks, houseguests also tend to rally behind the HOH’s choices and serve as temporary minions to his/her cause.

However, the idea that being the HOH is a kind of curse against winning the game is indeed a misconception, not entirely supported by empirical data. As 24Emmy points out in the forums, three of “Big Brother’s” 16 winners also won the first HOH of their season, but in addition to that four of the first HOH winners placed in the Top 4 of their seasons and none of them have ever been evicted in the second week of play.

This season, James Huling and Jason Roy became the first HOHs, but after the Battle of the Block comp only James remained as the ruling Head of Household. Whether James or Jason’s first HOH wins play a major part in their ability to win this season remains to be seen.

Will Jace Agolli go home Thursday night, or will it be so-called “pawn” Jackie Ibarra? And which two houseguests will win the new HOH competition?

Be sure to predict BOTH weeks in our “Big Brother” predictions center. Cast your votes for who’ll go home in Week 1 and then click the other box to predict which two houseguests will win the HOH competition at the start of Week 2. Click here to go at it.

Throughout the week certain questions will be answered on the show and more questions will be added, so it’s beneficial to keep coming back often and making/updating your predictions.

Our users were spot-on with their predictions that Steve would win the Veto comp on Wednesday. He had leading 11/8 odds (42%) to claim the prize, followed by Jace in second place with 11/2 odds (16%). Click on the chart to the left to see the full odds for Week 1.

Every time a new user casts their votes, the overall odds are automatically updated at Gold Derby, resulting in updated rankings on our charts. Have YOU voted yet?

Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering that week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a longshot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points, so don’t take them for granted.

‘Big Brother’ poll: Who’s the WORST winner of all time?

Average Gold Derby users just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week, just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.

We are forecasting everything from the results on TV shows like “Survivor” and “Big Brother” to the winners of the Emmy Awards and more.

Get started by making your prediction as to which houseguest will be eliminated by using our easy drag-and-drop menu below. And be sure to sound off on the current season of “Big Brother” in Gold Derby’s reality TV forum.


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