Taylor Swift will be Top Artist at the Billboard Music Awards

Taylor Swift will win top honors at the Billboard Music Awards according to the combined predictions of our Editors, Top 24 Users (at last year’s awards) and All Users. She’s the most nominated artist this year with 14 bids, and of the 11 races we’re forecasting, she’s expected to take three: Top Artist, Top Female Artist and Top Billboard 200 Album for “1989.” She previously won Top Artist in 2013.

(Click here to see our complete predictions by category.)

The Billboard Music Awards determine their nominees and winners based on record sales, downloads and airplay, which may make Swift difficult to beat after she topped the charts with “1989” and its lead single “Shake it Off,” which contends for Top Hot 100 Single.

Newcomer Sam Smith follows with 13 nods, and he’s pegged to win two top prizes: Top New Artist and Top Male Artist. His breakthrough year included a hit album (“In the Lonely Hour,” up for Billboard 200 Album) and single (“Stay with Me,” which contends for Hot 100 Single). Before his Billboard bids, Smith also had a major windfall this past February at the Grammys, where he won four including Record of the Year and Best New Artist.

Iggy Azalea is next in line with 12 nominations, and our predictors pick her as the favorite for Top Rap Artist.

Nine-time nominee Meghan Trainor broke through in 2014 largely on the strength of her breakthrough single, “All About That Bass,” which is our frontrunner to win Top Hot 100 Single.

Recent Oscar-champ John Legend is up for seven awards and will take Best R&B Artist for the first time.

Fan-favorite boy band One Direction is nominated in four categories, including Top Artist, and they’re expected to prevail as Top Duo or Group for the second time, following their victory in that race in 2013.

Luke Bryan also contends for four awards, and we think he’s ahead for Top Country Artist, a category he also won last year.

Fall Out Boy will win one of their two bids: Top Rock Artist.

When predicting last year’s Billboard Awards, Gold Derby’s Editors were right 75% of the time, while our Top 24 and All Users trailed with 50%.

Our Users are hoping to make a comeback this year, and you can help. If you think you know who will win this year’s Billboard Music Awards races, click here to make your predictions. Your picks will be pooled together to generate our official racetrack odds, and if you have this year’s best predictions, you’ll win a $100 Amazon gift card (if you qualify according to our contest rules).

Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering the week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct predictions, don’t take them for granted.

Last year, our top User was Ryan Lapierre, who predicted 84% of the winners. Do you have that kind of special insight into this year’s contest? If so, there’s still time to make your predictions before Sunday’s live telecast. Click here to visit our predictions center, where you can enter your picks, or use the easy drag-and-drop menu at the bottom of this post to get started.

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And meet our previous contest champs. You could join them on our leaderboard.

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