You may know Bryan Cranston as a six-time Emmy winner (four for acting on “Breaking Bad” and two for producing the AMC drama) or as a recent Tony champ (Best Play Actor for “All the Way”), but could an Oscar be next for his buzzed-about performance in “Trumbo“? Scroll down to see my four reasons why I think Cranston will overcome his sixth-place odds of 25/1 to reap a Best Actor nomination for playing controversial 1940s Hollywood screenwriter/Communist Dalton Trumbo.
1. He plays a real-life person.
The list of recent Best Actor Oscar winners plays like a who’s who of real-life history: Eddie Redmayne as Stephen Hawking (“The Theory of Everything”), Matthew McConaughey as Ron Woodroof (“Dallas Buyers Club”), Daniel Day-Lewis as Abraham Lincoln (“Lincoln”), Colin Firth as King George (“The King’s Speech”), Sean Penn as Harvey Milk (“Milk”), Forest Whitaker as Idi Amin (“The Last King of Scotland”), Philip Seymour Hoffman as Truman Capote (“Capote”), Jamie Foxx as Ray Charles (“Ray”). Hollywood just can’t get enough of these male-driven biopics.
2. He transforms physically.
There’s nothing Oscar voters love more than when actors and actresses transform physically on screen for our enjoyment. Think Meryl Streep as British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher (“Iron Lady”), Heath Ledger as the crazy Joker (“The Dark Knight”), Nicole Kidman as the nosy Virginia Woolf (“The Hour”), and yes, even Cranston as Trumbo, who ages several decades before our eyes complete with full-on makeup and wigs.
3. He could win the Golden Globe.
Based on Gold Derby’s exclusive Golden Globe predictions, Cranston is neck-and-neck with Matt Damon (“The Martian”) to win the Globe for Best Comedy/Musical Actor. That’s important because the past four victors of that precursor have gone on to reap Oscar nominations: Michael Keaton (“Birdman”), Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Wolf of Wall Street”), Hugh Jackman (“Les Miserables”) and Jean Dujardin, who won the Best Actor Oscar in 2011 for “The Artist.”
4. He’s on an awards roll.
As mentioned above, Cranston is a force to be reckoned with at awards shows, having won multiple Emmys and a Tony in the past few years. An Oscar triumph would put Cranston just one letter away from the EGOT (only missing the “G” for Grammy).
He’d join a list that includes all of the following actors who won the Emmy, Oscar and Tony: Jack Alberton, Melvyn Douglas, Jeremy Irons, Thomas Mitchell, Al Pacino, Christopher Plummer, Jason Robards, Geoffrey Rush and Paul Scofield.
According to Gold Derby’s exclusive predictions that combine the Oscar forecasts of 19 top Hollywood journalists (Experts), our website staff (Editors), the two dozen folks who did the best predicting last year’s Oscar noms (Top 24 Users) and over a thousand contest entrants like you (Users), Cranston is on the bubble to earn an Oscar nomination.
Currently, the five predicted Best Actor nominees are: Michael Fassbender (“Steve Jobs”) with leading 5/2 odds, Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Revenant”) in second place with odds of 10/3, Eddie Redmayne (“The Danish Girl”) in third place at 5/1 odds, Johnny Depp (“Black Mass”) in fourth place with odds of 15/2 and Michael Caine (“Youth”) in fifth place at 16/1 odds. See up-to-date Oscar odds and rankings here.
Make your Oscar predictions beginning with Best Actor and you could earn a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Oscar nominations).
Last year, our Top 24 Users led the way with an accuracy rate of 76.67% when it came to predicting the Oscar nominations. Next up were Gold Derby’s Editors with 74.44%, followed by the Experts with 71.11% and all Users with 68.09%. (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
Which group will be victorious this year? Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.
As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.