Little Big Town will be the big winners at the CMA Awards according to our official racetrack odds, which are based on the combined predictions of our Editors (those of us Gold Derby writers who cover awards year-round), Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who had the best scores predicting last year’s CMAs) and all Users who have entered our predictions contest. According to our collective input, the country quartet will win three out of their five nominations.
Little Big Town will take Vocal Group as well as Single and Music Video of the Year for their hit “Girl Crush.” They compete in two other races as well: Album of the Year (“Pain Killer“) and Musical Event of the Year (“Smokin’ and Drinkin’” with Miranda Lambert). “Girl Crush” also contends for Song of the Year, though that award doesn’t count towards the group’s total because the band members didn’t write it.
Next with two wins will be Kenny Chesney. The veteran is expected to prevail for Album of the Year (“The Big Revival“) and Song of the Year (“American Kids“). He’s also up for Single of the Year for “American Kids,” Musical Event for “Wild Child” with Grace Potter and Entertainer of the Year.
According to our odds, Chesney will lose the Entertainer prize to Luke Bryan, who is the defending champion in that category. But that’s actually the only win we’re forecasting for Bryan, whose only other bid is for Male Vocalist of the Year.
Blake Shelton is the frontrunner for Male Vocalist, having won it for the last five years in a row. His soon-to-be-ex-wife Lambert is also expected to extend her winning streak with a sixth consecutive win for Female Vocalist of the Year.
The rest of this year’s forecast winners are also projected to take just one award apiece. Florida Georgia Line are the heavy favorites for Vocal Duo of the Year, which they’ve won for the last two years. Chris Stapleton will edge out Sam Hunt for the New Artist prize. And Keith Urban and Eric Church will share Musical Event for their collaboration “Raise ‘Em Up.”
Photo: Little Big Town. Credit: Jim Smeal/BEI/REX
Photo Credit: Kenny Chesney: Jim Smeal/BEI/REX