Critics’ Choice Awards nominations predictions: ‘Spotlight,’ ‘Mad Max’ & ‘Carol’ will clean up

spotlight mad max fury road carol

We’re predicting 10 film categories at the Critics’ Choice Awards, whose nominations will be announced on Monday (December 14) along with the nominations for TV, and “Spotlight” will clean up according to the combined predictions of Expert film journalists we’ve polled, Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, The Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Critics’ Choice nominations and the hundreds of total Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors. (Click here to see our complete predictions by category.)

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Spotlight” is projected to earn seven nominations, more than any other film. But keep in mind that the Critics’ Choice Awards hand out many more prizes in genre categories and below-the-line craft fields than other precursors like the Golden Globes and SAG Awards. That is good news for “Mad Max: Fury Road.” We’re betting it’ll score three top nominations – Best Picture, Best Director (George Miller) and Best Actress (Charlize Theron) – but its total tally will be far higher when you factor in technical awards and nominations in special action-movie categories.

Carol” could also do even better than we’re predicting. We’re forecasting five nominations, including Best Picture, Best Actress (Cate Blanchett) and Best Supporting Actress (Rooney Mara), but it could also be a factor for its costumes, score and production design, among others.

We’re also predicting five noms apiece for “The Hateful Eight” and “Steve Jobs,” including Best Picture. “Hateful Eight” is also expected to be recognized for its ensemble, Quentin Tarantino‘s direction and screenplay, and Jennifer Jason Leigh‘s supporting performance. “Steve Jobs” will also contend for its ensemble and screenplay, as well as for the performances of Michael Fassbender and Kate Winslet.

Joy” and “The Martian” are forecast in four categories each, and “The Revenant” is a contender in three, but the technical accomplishments of “Martian” and “Revenant” may also give them added support in craft and genre categories.

Take a look at our complete breakdown of predictions by film below. The predicted winners are indicated in gold.

Then make your own predictions at the bottom of this post beginning with Best Picture. You could win our prize for best picks —  $100 Amazon gift certificate — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.  

Click here to see complete odds and rankings in our Critics’ Choice predictions

“Spotlight” – 7 nominations
Best Picture
Best Director – Tom McCarthy
Best Supporting Actor – Michael Keaton
Best Supporting Actor – Mark Ruffalo
Best Supporting Actress – Rachel McAdams
Best Original Screenplay
Best Ensemble

Carol” – 5 nominations
Best Picture
Best Director – Todd Haynes
Best Actress – Cate Blanchett
Best Supporting Actress – Rooney Mara
Best Adapted Screenplay

The Hateful Eight” – 5 nominations
Best Picture
Best Director – Quentin Tarantino
Best Supporting Actress – Jennifer Jason Leigh
Best Original Screenplay
Best Ensemble

“Steve Jobs” – 5 nominations
Best Picture
Best Actor – Michael Fassbender
Best Supporting Actress – Kate Winslet
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Ensemble

Joy” – 4 nominations
Best Picture
Best Actress – Jennifer Lawrence
Best Original Screenplay
Best Ensemble

The Martian” – 4 nominations
Best Picture
Best Director – Ridley Scott
Best Actor – Matt Damon
Best Adapted Screenplay

Mad Max: Fury Road” – 3 nominations
Best Picture
Best Director – George Miller
Best Actress – Charlize Theron

The Revenant” – 3 nominations
Best Picture
Best Director – Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
Best Actor – Leonardo DiCaprio

“Room” – 3 nominations
Best Picture
Best Actress – Brie Larson
Best Adapted Screenplay

“Bridge of Spies” – 2 nominations
Best Picture
Best Supporting Actor – Mark Rylance

“Brooklyn” – 2 nominations
Best Actress – Saoirse Ronan
Best Adapted Screenplay

“The Danish Girl” – 2 nominations
Best Actor – Eddie Redmayne
Best Supporting Actress – Alicia Vikander

“Inside Out” – 2 nominations
Best Original Screenplay
Best Animated Feature

“Anomalisa” – 1 nomination
Best Animated Feature

“Beasts of No Nation” – 1 nomination
Best Supporting Actor – Idris Elba

“The Big Short” – 1 nomination
Best Ensemble

“Black Mass” – 1 nomination
Best Actor – Johnny Depp

“Creed” – 1 nomination
Best Supporting Actor – Sylvester Stallone

“45 Years” – 1 nomination
Best Actress – Charlotte Rampling

“The Good Dinosaur” – 1 nomination
Best Animated Feature

“Love and Mercy” – 1 nominations
Best Supporting Actor – Paul Dano

“The Peanuts Movie” – 1 nomination
Best Animated Feature

“Shaun the Sheep” – 1 nomination
Best Animated Feature

“Straight Outta Compton” – 1 nomination
Best Ensemble

“Trainwreck” – 1 nomination
Best Original Screenplay

“Trumbo” – 1 nomination
Best Actor – Bryan Cranston

“Youth” – 1 nomination
Best Supporting Actress – Jane Fonda

“Spotlight” photo credit: Open Road Films

“Mad Max” photo credit: Moviestore/REX

“Carol” photo credit: Snap Stills/REX

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