Have you been predicting “Dancing With the Stars” for a chance to win $100 every week? If so, you might have noticed that Olympic gymnast Nastia Liukin, who had led our predictions for the mirror ball trophy since the beginning of the season, has fallen from the top spot in our racetrack odds. Can she recover?
This week, Willis is up to 45% support from users and 6/5 odds, while Liukin is down to 30% support and 23/10 odds. Can she make a comeback?
Liukin’s shortfall in our predictions is likely because she hasn’t been at the top of the judges’ scores since week three. Given her flexibility, gold-medal athleticism, and partnership with fan-favorite Derek Hough, it seems like racking up perfect scores should be as easy as rolling out of bed, but Willis, musician Riker Lynch and actress Willow Shields have had no trouble keeping up with her.
And Hough’s sudden injury this week puts their candidacy even more in question.
But we won’t find out who wins the mirror ball trophy until May. What matters now if you want to win our weekly contest for a $100 Amazon gift card (as long as you qualify according to our contest rules) is what will happen during this week’s two-night event: who will get the high score, who will get the low score, and who will be eliminated?
If the contestants remain consistent, this week’s top scorer will probably be Liukin, Lynch, Shields or Willis. They’ve been the best four dancers almost every single week, so you’ve probably got a one-in-four chance of answering that question correctly if you pick one of them.
What may be surprising, however, is that Liukin is still predicted to get the week’s highest score despite losing the top spot in our odds for the season’s ultimate winner. She gets 9/5 odds based on support from 36% of users, including Radzie and Ryan Lapierre, the two highest scoring users for the season so far. Radzie says Liukin will also win the mirror ball trophy, while Lapierre is one of the users now backing Willis for the title.
Next in our predictions is Lynch, who topped the judges’ scores last week and gets 27/10 odds to do it again based on support from 27% of users, including Kevin Postel, who was the best predictor of last week’s show and is currently third on our overall leaderboard.
Even though she’s the current frontrunner to win the season, Willis is only third in our predictions to be the high scorer for the night, getting 3/1 odds and backed by 25% of users.
Shields is fourth with 20/1 odds and support from just 5% of users. Is it foolish for us to underestimate her? Granted, she has only gotten the top judges’ score once, but that “Hunger Games”-themed routine on “Most Memorable Year” night scored 39 out of 40, which is still tied as the highest scoring dance of the season so far.
If you think Shields will win the night, you can predict her now at 20/1 odds and win big points, and that’s often the key to winning our weekly contests.
Coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering the week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don’t take them for granted.
So if you bet 500 points on Shields at 20/1 odds, that will pay out with a whopping 10,000 points if you’re right. That could be the difference between winning our contest and losing. But it’s a calculated risk, because you don’t score points for a wrong answer, which could knock you out of contention.
When making your predictions, sometimes it pays to be bold, but sometimes it pays to play it safe. Choose wisely.
Besides this season’s fantastic four, every other contestant has 100/1 odds: military veteran Noah Galloway, “Shark Tank” businessman Robert Herjavec and “Bachelor” star Chris Soules. Could one of them pull off a shocking upset and top the judges’ scores for the first time?
Make or update your predictions below by dragging contestants from left to right in your forecasted order of finishing. For example, if you think Liukin will get the highest score, make sure to have her in first place. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week until 5 p.m. PT each Monday. Just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choices.
To enter your predictions for the other questions we ask (low score each week, who will be eliminated, ultimate winner), make sure you are logged into your Gold Derby account or register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google.
After logging in, click on the “Predictions” button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby.
We are forecasting everything from the results on reality TV shows like “The Amazing Race” and “Survivor” to the winners of the Academy of Country Music Awards and both Daytime and Primetime Emmys.
Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions.
For each TV show, cast your votes on several different questions relating to the upcoming episode. And remember to place your 500 and 200-point bets wisely.