Can Ed Sheeran upset Bruno Mars in VMA contest for Best Male Video?

ed sheeran bruno mars vma

Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars currently lead our MTV Video Music Award predictions for Best Male Video for “Uptown Funk,” based on the input of our Editors, Users and Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best predicting last year’s winners). But it’s far from a lock. Ed Sheeran is also a force to be reckoned with for his romantic video “Thinking Out Loud.”

Kendrick Lamar and Taylor Swift lead MTV Video Music Awards nominations

As of this writing, “Uptown Funk” is backed by five out of six Editors, 11 of our Top 24 Users, and 170 overall Users, giving it even odds. This is the first nomination in the category for Ronson and the third for Mars, who won the last time he was nominated, in 2013 for “Locked Out of Heaven.” That year, he went head-to-head against Sheeran, who contended for “Lego House.”

But Sheeran won in 2014 for “Sing” when Mars was absent from the race. Now the two face off again, but while Mars seems to have the narrow advantage in their rematch, Sheeran has support from one Editor, eight of our Top 24 Users, and almost 100 overall Users, giving him 14/5 odds.

Next in line is Kendrick Lamar, nominated for “Alright.” Like “Uptown Funk” and “Thinking Out Loud,” “Alright” also contends for Video of the Year, but our predictors are less confident he’ll be widely embraced by fan voters here. He gets 9/1 odds with support from three of our Top 24 Users, but that includes BruceTsai, who had the top score predicting last year’s VMAs. Is he on to something?

Nick Jonas ranks fourth with 12/1 odds for his video “Chains” based on support from one of our Top 24 Users; this is the only nomination for Jonas, which means his fans might be galvanized to vote for the former #Jonas Brothers# heartthrob here. And another top user is betting on The Weeknd for “Earned It,” giving him 20/1 odds.

Who DESERVES to win the VMAs? Discuss in our forums

gold derby scoresWho do you think will win this year’s VMA contests?

Make your predictions and you could win our contest prize (a $100 Amazon gift card), a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role among next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s VMAs).

Register/log in to your Gold Derby account so you can also compete to predict the Emmys, the TCA Awards and more.

Last year, our Editors, Users and Top 24 Users all tied with an accuracy rate of 37.50%, so we’re all hoping for redemption this time around. (Click on any of those groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)

Which group will be victorious this year?

As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Photo: Ed Sheeran performing at Latitude Festival, 2015. Credit: RMV/REX

Photo: Bruno Mars at 4th of July celebration, 2015. Credit: REX

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