Emmys experts predict Comedy Series battle between ‘Veep’ and ‘Transparent’

Our 11 Emmy experts are divided as to what will win Best Comedy Series at the Emmys on Sept. 20.  Six of us are predicting that “Veep” will finally prevail on its fourth straight bid while four favor newcomer “Transparent.” And only one expert expects “Modern Family” to claim a record sixth trophy. 

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The half dozen Emmyologists casting a vote for “Veep” are: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and me. That support gives this HBO political satire even odds to take home the top trophy. 

Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide magazine), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Jarrett Wieselman (BuzzFeed) are touting “Transparent,” the breakout Amazon series. That translates into odds of 15/8. 

Eric Deggans (NPR) stands alone in forecasting victory for “Modern Family.” That gives the ABC laffer odds of only 9/1 to break its tie with “Frasier” as the most honored comedy at the Emmys.

The other four nominees — “Louie,” “Parks and Recreation,” “Silicon Valley” and “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” — are all at 100/1. 

Experts Emmy predictions: All 32 categories

Click on the chart above to see how those odds stack up to the predictions by the other three groups at Gold Derby: our Editors, Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best at predicting last year’s winners), and Users just like you. 

Last year, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62%. That score tied them with both Gold Derby’s Editors and the Top 24 Users. Our Users scored  51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)

Which group will be victorious this year?

As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Make your own Emmys picks now starting with Best Comedy Series to the right or at the bottom of this post.

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