Oops! We goofed at Emmy nominations by NOT predicting Tatiana Maslany, Emilia Clarke …

Gold Derby’s combined racetrack odds correctly predicted 75% of this year’s Emmy nominations across 24 categories, but as is the case every year with the mercurial TV academy, there were some nominees who were close calls, some who were near-misses, and others who were complete shockers.

Below, check out the list of the Emmy nominations we didn’t see coming.

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The following contenders were such surprises that they were literally off our charts.

Best Comedy Supporting Actress
Niecy Nash, “Getting On”

Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor
Richard Cabral, “American Crime”

These contenders were such long shots that our predictors all but wrote them off with distant 100/1 odds, but they proved us wrong.

Best Comedy Series
“Parks and Recreation”

Best Comedy Actor
Anthony Anderson, “Black-ish”
Will Forte, “The Last Man on Earth”

Best Comedy Supporting Actor
Adam Driver, “Girls”
Keegan Michael Key, “Key and Peele”

Best Comedy Supporting Actress
Gaby Hoffmann, “Transparent”

Best Comedy Guest Actor
Paul Giamatii, “Inside Amy Schumer”

Best Comedy Guest Actress
Pamela Adlon, “Louie”
Elizabeth Banks, “Modern Family”
Gaby Hoffmann, “Girls”

Best Drama Series

Best Drama Actor
Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan

Best Drama Actress
Tatiana Maslany, “Orphan Black”

Best Drama Supporting Actress
Emilia Clarke, “Game of Thrones”

Best Drama Guest Actor
Alan Alda, “The Blacklist”
Reg E. Cathey, “House of Cards”
Pablo Schreiber, “Orange is the New Black”

Best Drama Guest Actress
Khandi Alexander, “Scandal”
Rachel Brosnahan, “House of Cards”

Best TV Movie
“Grace of Monaco”
“Hello Ladies: The Movie”

Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor
Denis O’Hare, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”

Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actress
Regina King, “American Crime”

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We knew they had a shot, but these nominees fell just shy of our predictions.

Best Comedy Actor
Don Cheadle, “House of Lies” (33/1 odds)

Best Comedy Actress
Lisa Kudrow, “The Comeback” (14/1 odds)

Best Comedy Supporting Actress
Jane Krakowski, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” (50/1 odds)

Best Drama Actress
Elisabeth Moss, “Mad Men” (33/1 odds)

Best Drama Supporting Actor
Alan Cumming, “The Good Wife” (33/1 odds)
Michael Kelly, “House of Cards” (33/1 odds)

Best Drama Supporting Actress
Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey” (25/1 odds)

Best Drama Guest Actor
F. Murray Abraham, “Homeland” (20/1 odds)

Best Movie/Limited Actor
Timothy Hutton, “American Crime” (20/1 odds)

Best Movie/Limited Actress
Emma Thompson, “Sweeney Todd (Live from Lincoln Center)” (50/1 odds)

Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor
Michael Kenneth Williams, “Bessie” (20/1 odds)

Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett, “American Horror Story: Freak Show” (20/1 odds)
Zoe Kazan, “Olive Kitteridge” (33/1 odds)

Best Variety Sketch Series
“Drunk History” (20/1 odds)

Will “Modern Family” win a record sixth time as Best Comedy Series? Make your predictions for that category below using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Average Gold Derby users just like YOU turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our User racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Make all of your Emmy predictions and you could win a place of honor on our leaderboard, a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmy winners), and one of three contest prizes: $500 for first place, $300 for second place, and $200 for third place. Prizes will be bestowed as gift certificates to be redeemed at Amazon. See our contest rules for more info.

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