Emmy predictions slugfest: Will Drama Guest Actor go to Alan Alda, Beau Bridges, Michael J. Fox or … [Video]

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Who will win the Emmy for Best Drama Guest Actor? While Gold Derby editors Marcus James Dixon and Rob Licuria are banking on frontrunner Beau Bridges (“Masters of Sex”), Riley Chow is going rogue with his prediction of Pablo Schreiber (“Orange is the New Black”). Watch our new video slugfest at the bottom of this post.

Click here to see the updated list of all 2015 Emmy episode submissions

Last year’s Best Drama Guest Actor winner Joe Morton (“Scandal”) was moved into the supporting race per new Emmy rules, so he is not back to defend his title. Three of the contenders are among the most nominated in Emmy history: Alan Alda (“The Blacklist”), Michael J. Fox (“The Good Wife”) and Bridges. The other nominees are Oscar champ F. Murray Abraham (“Homeland”), Reg E. Cathey (“House of Cards”) and Schreiber.

Bridges plays university provost Barton Scully and went with “Parallax” as his episode submission. This is his 16th Emmy nomination with three previous wins.
Official ballot description: “Barton struggles to quash his sexuality in order to hold on to his career, his reputation and the wife he truly loves in all ways but one. Following an electroshock therapy session that does not succeed, with his marriage collapsing, Barton decides his only way out is to attempt suicide.”
Gold Derby odds to win: 5/6

Fox plays lawyer Louis Canning in his Emmy entry “Red Zone.” This is his 17th Emmy nomination with five previous wins.
Official ballot description: “Alicia gives legal advice to a rape victim and winds up dealing with a trial against Louis Canning, while also trying to improve her image for the election.”
Gold Derby odds to win: 4/1

Alda plays government insider Alan Fitch and opted for “The Decemberist.” This is his 34th Emmy nomination with six previous wins.
Official ballot description: “Red’s motives for Berlin take a sudden turn when he learns Berlin was manipulated by the latest Blacklister to avenge Red. Red and Berlin travel to Moscow to track down a high ranking Russian official who they believe is responsible.”
Gold Derby odds to win: 13/2

Cathey plays former ribs cook Freddy Hayes, deciding on “Chapter 34.” This is his second Emmy nomination with no previous wins.
Official ballot description: “Freddy Hayes is summoned by Frank from the restaurant kitchen in D.C. where he washes dishes. Freddy arrives at the Oval Office and accepts Frank’s offer of a kitchen job — then asks to work in the White House grounds. Frank can’t save AmWorks, but this he can do.”
Gold Derby odds to win: 25/1

Abraham plays CIA operative Dar Adal in his episode submission “Long Time Coming.” This is his first Emmy nomination.
Official ballot description: “When Dar tells Saul about his deal with Haqqani, Saul is shocked —  negotiating with Haqqani betrays those killed in the Embassy attack. Dar defends his strategy: it buys cooperation from the Taliban and creates an opportunity for Saul to return to Agency leadership. Their collusion threatens Saul’s relationship with Carrie.”
Gold Derby odds to win: 33/1

Schreiber plays prison guard George “Pornstache” Mendez and went with “40 Oz. of Furlough.” This is his first Emmy nomination.
Official ballot description: “On the inside, no inmate is safe when Pornstache goes on the warpath.”
Gold Derby odds to win: 50/1

See Dixon’s Emmy predictions here, Licuria’s here and Chow’s here. Compare their Emmy predix to the overall combined Gold Derby odds and rankings here.

Experts Emmy predictions: All 32 categories

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Last year our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62% when it came to predicting the Emmy winners. That score tied them with both Gold Derby’s Editors and the Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best at predicting last year’s Emmys). Our Users scored  51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)

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