The Emmys have never given the supporting cast of “Parks and Recreation” the time of day, so why are some of our predictors betting on Chris Pratt to earn a bid for the final season of the NBC sitcom? Probably because the Pratt who competed in years past is a lot different from the Pratt who is competing now. This time, he enters the Emmy contest as a full-fledged movie star.
Before last year’s Emmy nominations, Pratt had a major box office success with “The Lego Movie,” but that was a voice-over performance, so that film’s windfall may not have been strongly attributed to him. However, that August, a suddenly chiseled Pratt starred in Marvel’s live-action blockbuster “Guardians of the Galaxy,” which earned raves from critics and became 2014’s third highest grossing film.
This summer, he struck again, starring in the sequel “Jurassic World.” Though critics weren’t as enthusiastic this time around, the film exceeded box office expectations, scoring the biggest opening weekend of all-time and already outgrossing “Avengers: Age of Ultron” by more than $100 million in North America. Before adjusting for inflation, it has the fourth highest domestic gross of all time.
So what does this have to do with the Emmys? Well, even though they ostensibly honor the best work on television, they love movie stars. In addition to awarding A-list veterans who grace TV screens with their presence, the TV academy has given up-and-coming actors surprise wins that just happened to coincide with their big-screen breakthroughs.
Melissa McCarthy won Best Comedy Actress for “Mike and Molly” in 2011 right after her star-making turn in the film “Bridesmaids.”. And Katherine Heigl was a surprise Drama Supporting Actress champ for “Grey’s Anatomy” in 2007, right after starring in Judd Apatow‘s comedy hit “Knocked Up.”
It can only help Pratt that “Jurassic World” was breaking box office records during the Emmy voting period (June 15-26). And since “Parks and Recreation” has ended its run, this is probably the last chance voters will get to honor Pratt before he moves on to an illustrious movie career. It’s also a chance for Emmy voters to claim Pratt’s success as their own: after all, he probably wouldn’t have become an in-demand action star if he hadn’t first gained attention as lovable Andy Dwyer in “Parks and Rec.”
Nevertheless, most of our predictors aren’t optimistic about his chances. He ranks 11th with 50/1 odds in the combined predictions of our Experts, Editors, Users and Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who racked up the best scores among the thousands predicting last year’s Emmy nominations), but he’s got a much better shot if you consider just our Top 24, who place him eighth with 25/1 odds. Six of them expect him to earn a nod. One even predicts that he’ll win.
But currently leading our predictions is two-time Emmy-winner Ty Burrell (“Modern Family“), who is the defending champion. He gets 7/2 odds based on support from five out of 12 Experts, four out of seven Editors, 19 of our Top 24 Users, and the strong majority of all Users.
Of the four groups making predictions at Gold Derby, the Top 24 Users did the best forecasting last year’s Emmy nominations (78.55%) compared to the Editors (77.68%), All Users (74.78%) and the Experts (74.64%).
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