Golden Globe predictions: Caitriona Balfe (‘Outlander’) vs. Taraji P. Henson (‘Empire’) for TV Drama Actress

caitriona balfe outlander taraji p. henson empire

Before Golden Globe nominations were announced, Taraji P. Henson was the heavy favorite to win Best TV Drama Actress for FOX’s music-industry soap “Empire,” but after “Outlander‘s” strong showing in the nominations (it’s up for three awards, including Best Drama Series), Caitriona Balfe looks like a force to be reckoned with. Gold Derby’s Editors – those of us who cover awards year-round – are split down the middle.

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Three of us – Chris Beachum, Marcus Dixon and I – are predicting Henson will win, giving her 11/10 odds. This is the first Golden Globe nomination for the actress, who enjoyed breakout success this year as music matriarch Cookie Lyon on “Empire” but was already a past Oscar nominee (Best Supporting Actress for “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button,” 2008). The Globes love movie stars who do TV, like Robin Wright (“House of Cards“), who won this award two years ago, and Cookie is arguably the most iconic new character of 2015.

But the other three editors – Rob Licuria, Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan – say Balfe has the edge, which also gives  her 11/10 odds. The “Outlander” star isn’t as much of a household name as Henson, and the Starz period drama isn’t as widely seen as the broadcast ratings blockbuster “Empire,” but you could say the same thing about Ruth Wilson, who won for the premium cable drama “The Affair” last year against A-list star Viola Davis in the breakout network hit “How to Get Away with Murder.” The fact that the Golden Globes also nominated “Outlander” for both Best Drama and Best TV Supporting Actor (Tobias Menzies) might indicate that it has even more support from voters than “Empire” does.

Viola Davis is back in this year’s race, but none of our Editors are predicting her to win this time around. She ranks third with 50/1 odds.

Wright, the 2013 champ, trails with 80/1 odds, as does first-time nominee Eva Green (“Penny Dreadful“).

‘Outlander’ Golden Globe nominations: How Caitriona Balfe & the show dominated

Make your Golden Globe winner predictions starting with Best TV Drama Actress to the right or at the bottom of this post.

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“Outlander” photo credit: Starz

“Empire” photo credit: FOX

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