Golden Globes predictions: Taraji P. Henson (‘Empire’) vs. Viola Davis (‘HTGAWM’) vs. Caitriona Balfe (‘Outlander’)

golden globes taraji p henson empire viola davis caitriona balfe outlander 13579086

Last year Gold Derby predicted that Viola Davis would win the Golden Globe for Best TV Drama Actress for the breakout first season of ABC’s “How to Get Away with Murder,” but she ended up being bested by Ruth Wilson (“The Affair“). Can Davis now win for Season 2, or might Taraji P. Henson (“Empire“) or Caitriona Balfe (“Outlander“) claim the trophy instead? Hurry — there’s a $100 Amazon gift certificate on the line for whoever does the best at predicting this year’s Golden Globe Awards, so start predicting right now.

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According to exclusive Gold Derby odds that are derived from the predictions made by Expert journalists we’ve polled, Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s nominations and the more than 1,500 total Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) block of predictors, Henson currently leads the race for Best TV Drama Actress with 19/10 odds.

Despite being snubbed by the SAG Awards on Wednesday, in Henson’s favor is the fact that she’s on a sizzling ratings hit that Globes voters won’t be able to ignore. “Empire” is currently airing Season 2 on Fox, though it’s still new to the Globes as their eligibility period is the 2015 calendar year. After winning kudos for this role at the Critics’ Choice TV Awards earlier in the year, might she follow it up with a Golden Globes victory?

Voters of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association are clearly fans of Davis (4/1 odds), having nominated her last year for “How to Get Away with Murder” and twice before on the film side: Best Actress for “The Help” (2011) and Best Supporting Actress for “Doubt” (2008). However, while she won her first Emmy three months ago, she has yet to take home her first Golden Globe.

As for Balfe (6/1 odds), her program “Outlander” ticks a lot of boxes for Golden Globes voters. Remember, these awards are given out by the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. That’s key because the people voting for the Globes love to trumpet new hot stars like Irish-born Balfe for their media outlets across the world, and “Outlander” is one of Starz’s all-time biggest success stories.

Other top contenders for Best TV Drama Actress: Robin Wright (“House of Cards”) with 9/1 odds, Wilson with 14/1 odds and Melissa Benoist (“Supergirl”) with 40/1 odds. SEE MORE

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Make your Golden Globe predictions starting with Best TV Drama Actress to the right or at the bottom of this post and earn a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Globe nominations).

Last year the Experts led the way with an accuracy rate of 67% when it came to predicting the Golden Globe TV nominations, followed by all Users with 65%, the Top 24 Users at 63% and the Editors at 61%. (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.) Which group will be victorious this year?

As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Photo Credits: Fox, ABC/Bob D’Amico, Starz

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