Grammys general field predictions: Can anyone stop Sam Smith?

Is Sam Smith unstoppable at the Grammys? According to our predictions, he will win three out of the four general-field categories, ceding only Album of the Year to Beyonce.

Below, our forecasts in the top four categories, ranked in order of their racetrack odds. (Click on each category title to read an in-depth look at that race):

R&B and Rap Grammys predictions: Beyonce, Eminem, and …

“Beyonce,” Beyonce – 8/11
“In the Lonely Hour,” Sam Smith – 10/3
“Morning Phase,” Beck – 6/1
“X,” Ed Sheeran – 33/1
“GIRL,” Pharrell Williams – 100/1

Beyonce is only 33-years-old, but she’s already the Grammys’ third most awarded woman of all time. With 17 wins, she’s just one behind Aretha Franklin, and 10 shy of country singer Alison Krauss‘s record. But her Album of the Year nomination this year for her self-titled album is only her second in the category, and she has yet to win. Will this be her year, or will the recording academy keep her waiting?

Pop Grammys predictions: Sam Smith, Lady Gaga, Iggy Azalea, …

Stay with Me,” Sam Smith – 8/15
“Chandelier,” Sia – 13/5
“Shake it Off,” Taylor Swift – 25/1
“Fancy,” Iggy Azalea feat. Charli XCX – 50/1
“All About That Bass,” Meghan Trainor – 100/1

Voters may also opt for the melancholy love ballad “Stay with Me,” in which Sam Smith pleads for affection. Heart-on-their-sleeve love songs are extremely popular with the recording academy; with the exception of “Get Lucky” last year, all the winners from the past six years fit that bill.

Rock Grammys predictions: Beck, Black Keys, and Jack White

“Stay with Me,” Sam Smith – 4/11
“Chandelier,” Sia – 15/2
“Take Me to Church,” Hozier – 8/1
“Shake it Off,” Taylor Swift – 33/1
“All About That Bass,” Meghan Trainor – 100/1

Sam Smith co-wrote “Stay with Me” with James Napier and William Phillips, but similarities between “Stay” and Tom Petty‘s 1989 hit “I Won’t Back Down” weren’t lost on Petty and his co-writer Jeff Lynne, who fought for credit and royalties on Smith’s song and got them. They struck the deal back in October, but it only came to light recently, so the announcement wouldn’t have affected Grammy voting, which ended on Jan. 16.

Grammys for comedy, spoken word, and more: Expect wins for Sia, Weird Al, and …

Sam Smith – 1/10
Bastille – 20/1
Iggy Azalea – 33/1
Haim – 50/1
Brandy Clark – 100/1

Only one solo male artist has won in the last 22 years: John Legend in 2005. 22 years is as long as British crooner Sam Smith has been alive, but while he’d normally be an underdog, he has one crucial advantage that could make him hard to beat: he’s only the 10th artist nominated in all four general-field categories in the same year: Best New Artist and Record, Album, and Song of the Year. Of the previous nine, eight won Best New Artist.

Country Grammys predictions: Carrie Underwood and Miranda Lambert will win double

If you haven’t made your Grammys predictions yet, there’s still time. Use our drag-and-drop menu below to get started and be in with a chance to win $100 if you get the highest score or click here to make your picks in more top Grammy categories.

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