Edward Douglas, Tom O’Neil, Paul Sheehan top all Experts predicting Spirit Awards winners

A trio of Experts — Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), and Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) — topped all others in predicting the 2014 Spirit Awards winners announced Saturday. They were best among the 12 Experts that we polled, getting 10 of the 11 categories correct for a 91% accuracy rate. 

Related: Complete list of 2014 Independent Spirit Awards winners

Next in line with 82% correct (9/11) are Tariq Khan (Fox News), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

Following them are Michael Musto (Out.com), Jenelle Riley (Variety) and Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood) with 73% correct (8/11). Riley was the only one of the 12 Experts to predict “Birdman” for Best Picture. Thelma Adams (Zealnyc) and Claudia Puig (USA Today) each had 64% accuracy (7/11).

Our predicted frontrunners prevailed in every category except for Best Picture (“Birdman” won over “Boyhood“) and Best Editing (“Whiplash” beat “Boyhood”). Among the champs: Richard Linklater for Best Director and Michael KeatonJulianne MooreJ.K. Simmons, and Patricia Arquette in the acting categories.

Our Editors were the best overall group scoring 91% accuracy by getting 10 of the 11 races right, missing only Best Picture (they went with “Boyhood). The ExpertsTop 24 Users, and Users all came in at 82% accuracy (i.e., 9 of 11) flubbing both Picture and Editing by going with “Boyhood”).

Click here for a breakdown of all top scorers. And to see how we fared collectively predicting each category, click here. For accuracy scores across all events, click here.

Related: Spirit Awards shocker has ‘Birdman’ with 3 including Best Picture

91% CORRECT (10 of 11)
Edward Douglas (Coming Soon)
Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)
Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby)

82% CORRECT (9 of 11)
Tariq Khan (Fox News)
Steve Pond (The Wrap)
Peter Travers (Rolling Stone)
Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com)

73% CORRECT (8 of 11)
Michael Musto (Out.com)
Jenelle Riley (Variety)
Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood)

64% CORRECT (7 of 11)
Thelma Adams (ZEALnyc)
Claudia Puig (USA Today)

What are your last-minute Oscar predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Picture champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win that $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict last year’s Oscars — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. 

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