“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” currently leads our predictions to win both Best Comedy Guest Actor and Best Comedy Guest Actress at the Emmys for Jon Hamm and Tina Fey, respectively. Do you agree the freshman Netflix series will take both? Make sure to enter your predictions; you can keep editing them right up until the Emmys in September.
Hamm and Fey are both frequent nominees in the guest races. Fey won in 2009 for parodying Alaskan politician Sarah Palin on “Saturday Night Live,” and she picked up another three nominations (2010-2011, 2014) for guest hosting the sketch comedy series. In “Kimmy Schmidt,” she parodies another famous public figure: prosecutor Marcia Clark, who failed to convict O.J. Simpson during his infamous murder trial in 1995.
As of this writing, Fey leads with 4/7 odds based on support from 10 out of 11 polled Experts, three out of seven Editors, 14 of our Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did best predicting last year’s winners) and more than 500 overall Users. She’s followed by Joan Cusack (“Shameless“) with 13/2 odds and Christine Baranski (“The Big Bang Theory“) with 12/1 odds.
Hamm is nominated for the fourth time in the Comedy Guest Actor race. Before “Kimmy Schmidt,” he received three bids (2009-2010, 2012) for his recurring role in “30 Rock.” Now he contends for playing hapless but charismatic cult leader Richard Wayne Gary Wayne, but not only has he never won this category before, poor Hamm has never won an Emmy at all. Counting his nominations this year for Best Drama Series and Best Drama Actor for “Mad Men,” he’s been nominated 16 times without ever winning.
He gets 8/11 odds to finally prevail based on support from 8 out of 11 Experts, three out of seven Editors, 12 of our Top 24 Users and more than 500 overall Users. He’s followed by past Emmy champ Bradley Whitford (“Transparent“) with 10/3 odds and Bill Hader (“Saturday Night Live”) with 10/1 odds.
Louis C.K. is also nominated for hosting “SNL” this season, and one can never rule out that show’s guests. Since 2009, “SNL” has won this category four times: twice for Justin Timberlake (2009, 2011) and twice for Jimmy Fallon (2012, 2014).
“Kimmy Schmidt” is created and produced by Fey, just like “30 Rock,” which was always popular in Emmy guest categories, but out of a combined 25 nominations in those races it only won twice: for Elaine Stritch (2007) and Tim Conway (2008).
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Last year, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62% when it came to predicting the Emmy winners. That score tied them with both Gold Derby’s Editors and the Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best at predicting last year’s Emmys). Our Users scored 51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
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Photo: Jon Hamm in “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt.” Credit: Netflix
Photo: Tina Fey in “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt.” Credit: Netflix/Everett/REX