Emmy predictions: Julia Louis-Dreyfus (‘Veep’) has excellent 8-to-13 odds to win for fourth straight time

Julia Louis-Dreyfus Veep Emmy Award Best Comedy Actress

Nobody has won the Emmy as Best Comedy Actress four straight times since Helen Hunt (“Mad About You,” 1996-1999). But according to exclusive Gold Derby predictions, Julia Louis-Dreyfus is poised to accomplish this feat with excellent 8/13 odds for her role as President Selina Meyer on “Veep.”

Louis-Dreyfus actually has two nominations this year, in this category and in Best Comedy Series as a producer of “Veep.” That brings her career total to 20 Emmy bids with five previous wins. In addition to her three victories for “Veep” she has another lead win for “New Adventures of Old Christine” (2006) and a supporting trophy for “Seinfeld” (1996).

Another acting win this year would enhance her status in Emmy history in two ways. She would be only the third lady to win Best Comedy Actress five times along with Mary Tyler Moore (“The Dick Van Dyke Show,” “The Mary Tyler Moore Show”) and Candice Bergen (“Murphy Brown”). She would also move into third place all-time for performance victories with a total of six, tying with Art Carney, Tim Conway, Tyne Daly, Allison Janney, and Carl Reiner.

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Edie Falco, Lisa Kudrow and Julia Louis-Dreyfus

For the race this year, Louis-Dreyfus has submitted the season finale, “Election Night.” The plot has Selina and her staff with their nerves growing frayed as each state result is called on the night of the presidential election. It ultimately ends in a tie, so what does that mean for her future?

The second spot in our rankings is held by perennial contender Amy Poehler for “Parks and Recreation” with 11/2 odds. Poehler has never won before in 13 previous Emmy bids and lost last weekend at the Creative Arts ceremony for hosting and writing the Golden Globe Awards. She is nominated this week for producing the NBC comedy and for playing Leslie Knope, bringing her career total to 17 nominations. Her episode submission is the series finale, “One Last Ride,” in which the team gathers one final time before they go their separate ways with a look 10 years into the future for each character.

Amy Schumer is in third place with 9/1 odds for the variety show “Inside Amy Schumer.” Schumer had a writing nomination last year for her variety sketch show and now adds four more this season. She is nominated in this lead category plus for directing, writing, and producing the program for Comedy Central. Her acting submission is “Cool With It,” which won the Emmy for Original Music and Lyrics last weekend. In this program, Amy goes to a strip club, stars in a boy band’s music video, and fights crime as a plain-clothes police detective.

In fourth place at 14/1 is Lisa Kudrow, who is nominated again in this category for “The Comeback” after a previous bid in 2006. This is her 10th career Emmy nomination with a prior victory in 1998 for “Friends.” The long-delayed second season of “The Comeback” on HBO featured her in the role of veteran sitcom actress Valerie Cherish. In her episode submission, “Valerie Is Taken Seriously,” she is set up for an exclusive interview by the network’s publicity department. Later, Valerie visits Paulie G.’s old writing partner when she’s concerned about her current boss.

This year marks the 22nd career Emmy nomination for Lily Tomlin with five writing victories and one for narration. She is in the fifth spot at 25/1 for the first-year Netflix comedy “Grace and Frankie,” in which she plays Frankie Bergstein, a hippie art teacher whose husband announces he is in love with his male best friend. She submitted the season finale, “The Vows” in which Frankie is forced to help her husband Sol clean out their old house and winds up sleeping with him. Grace then comforts Frankie, who finally recognizes that her marriage is over.

Edie Falco is in last place at 100/1, and this year’s nomination is her sixth for ‘Nurse Jackie.” In addition to the six that she reaped for “The Sopranos,” she is now tied with Angela Lansbury for the most by an actress in a leading role on a series (12). She has won a total of four Emmys, including one for the first season of the Showtime comedy. As drug-addicted nurse Jackie Peyton, she submitted the series finale “I Say a Little Prayer” where Jackie and Kevin are greeted by a surprise visitor during her daughter Grace’s confirmation rehearsal. On the last day before All Saints closes its doors Jackie is offered a job at Bellevue Hospital, and wants Zoey to come with her.

Experts Emmy predictions: All 32 categories

Make your own Emmys picks now to the right or at the bottom of this post for Best Comedy Actress. You could win one of our three prizes ($500, $300 and $200 Amazon gift certificates) as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmys line-up).

Last year, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62% when it came to predicting the Emmy winners. That score tied them with both Gold Derby’s Editors and the Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best at predicting last year’s Emmys). Our Users scored  51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)

Which group will be victorious this year? Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Emmys last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.

As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Photo: Julia Louis-Dreyfus in “Veep.” Credit: HBO.

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