Emmy experts: David Letterman will receive goodbye hug for Best Variety Talk Series

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Talk about going out in style, Dave. According to Gold Derby’s Emmy Experts, “Late Show with David Letterman” will earn a goodbye hug from the TV academy in a tight Best Variety Talk Series race between other departing late-night talkers “Colbert Report” and “Daily Show with Jon Stewart.” Do you agree or disagree with our odds-makers?

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The Experts give Letterman’s show leading 15/8 odds to win its first Emmy in 13 years. “Late Show” won the Best Variety Series trophy five times between 1998 and 2002, before “Daily Show” took over for a straight decade (2003-2012). The past two years have gone to “Colbert Report.”

Strangely, all three shows are now off the air, though “Daily Show” still has a chance of submitting itself for next year’s Emmys since it aired in June, July and August of this eligibility period.

Four Experts predict “Late Show” will win a parting Emmy: Eric Deggans (NPR), Lynette Rice (Ent. Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Ken Tucker (Yahoo).

A trio of Emmyologists are forecasting a win for “Colbert Report”: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Joyce Eng (TV Guide) and Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby).

Two other Experts are calling out a victory for “Daily Show”: Matt Roush (TV Guide) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).

And one rogue Emmyologist thinks “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” will prevail: Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo).

The other Variety Talk Series contenders in the running are “Jimmy Kimmel Live” and “Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon.”

Do you agree or disagree with the predictions of our Experts?

Experts Emmy predictions: All 32 categories

Make your own Emmys picks now to the right or at the bottom of this post.

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Last year, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62% when it came to predicting the Emmy winners. That score tied them with both Gold Derby’s Editors and the Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best at predicting last year’s Emmys). Our Users scored  51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)

Which group will be victorious this year?

As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Photo: David Letterman ends his final broadcast. Credit: Jeffrey R. Staab/CBS

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